The state-of-the-art in air transportation demand and systems analysis : a report on the proceedings of a workshop sponsored by the Civil Aeronautics Board, Department of Transportation, and National Aeronautics and Space Administration (June 1975)

August 1975Introduction and summary: Forecasting air transportation demand has indeed become a complex and risky business in recent years, especially in view of unpredictable fuel prices, high inflation rates, a declining rate of aggregate population growth, and an uncertainty with respect to the regulatory structure in the aviation industry. Since the stakes are very high, the need for accurate forecasting and for a more complete understanding of the total system of air transportation continues to grow. Past forecasting methods have become inadequate for at least two reasons. First, the trend extrapolation method of forecasting is no longer appropriate due to the significant changes in both the economic and the operating environments in recent years. Second, the more sophisticated econometric forecasting models are only as good as our understanding of the total air transportation system on the one hand, and the availability of data on the other. In light of these deficiencies, the dual needs for improving forecasting methods and for increasing the reliability of data are more critical now than ever before. In short, there is a compelling need to perform basic research to improve both the forecasting methods and the data in the aviation industry. Among the various types of forecasts of aviation activity desired by the government agencies, the air carriers, the airframe and engine manufacturers, the airport authorities, and the financial community, one component that plays a critical role in long-range planning pertains to the future fleet requirements for the aviation industry. Forecast items needed with respect to future fleet requirements include types, configuration, ranges, and technologies of new aircraft so that the industry and government can coordinate their resources to maximize the interests of the producers, regulators and consumers of future air service. The National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), with its twin missions of both aeronautics and astronautics, has been focusing its attention on the aeronautics component in recent years. In this overall responsibility, the Systems Study Division of NASA-Ames Research Center has as one of its main objectives the development of a better understanding of the civil air transportation system in the United States, with emphasis placed on the proper and timely application of new technology. In order to fulfill this objective, the division has a critical need for projections of the growth of demand and for the determination of the role of technology in the future growth of air transportation. Before undertaking an extensive research effort in the area of air transportation demand analysis and forecasting, NASA-Ames attempted to solicit the views of the industry and other government agencies at a one day informal meeting in San Francisco in December 1974. The meeting was attended by about twenty experts from the carriers, airframe and engine manufacturers, U.S. Department of Transportation, universities and NASA. The goals of this mini-workshop were three-fold: the first objective was to determine the ways in which the NASA-Ames Systems Study Division could play a supportive role in this area; second, it was essential to receive an informal endorsement from the industry and other government agencies; and third, it was necessary to determine the direction for the proposed research. This meeting concluded with a general agreement on a definite need for future research, with the belief that not only could NASA-Ames play a supportive role but, more important, that it could play a catalytic role. However, due to the limited participation in this one-day meeting and the assistance that the proposed research could have provided to a wide variety of users, a more extensive workshop was proposed at that time, possibly to be co-sponsored by other government agencies. Subsequent to the December 1974 meeting, further discussions with the U.S. Civil Aeronautics Board (CAB) and the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT) resulted in a three-day workshop co-sponsored by the CAB, DOT and NASA. The reasons for the joint sponsorship by the CAB and DOT reflected a desire from these agencies to participate in the search for methodologies and information on the long-range benefits, problems and issues of technological advances in aviation and to assist NASA in deploying its funds on these matters in the most productive and efficient ways. The overall objectives of this workshop were four-fold: first, to investigate the state-of-the-art in air transportation demand forecasting; second, to determine the needs of the various government agencies and the industry; third, to assess the possibility of long-term government sponsorship of basic research to improve the forecasting of air transportation activity; and fourth, to determine the most promising areas of research in air transportation and systems analysis. This workshop was organized by the Flight Transportation Laboratory of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology and the Transportation Center at Northwestern University and was held at the Mayflower Hotel in Washington, D.C. on June 2-4, 1975. The meeting was attended by one hundred experts, thirty-three of whom made extensive presentations. This report then is a summary of the highlights of the presentations delivered at the workshop, with appropriate interjections and editorial comments as perceived by its authors

Control System Analysis, Mobile Phone Marketing in PT Sentra Prima Askara

System can be said to be good if it can need to effectively and efficiently as possible, the analysis of an information system is indispensable for the development of the future. Marketing system at a company are very important, because the marketing will be good or bad menunjuukan products produced by companies bagik consumers

Value Analysis Information System Test on Senior High School Perguruan Cikini

Analysis of information systems is to understand the complex system and then makemodifications in several ways. The result of these modifications can form a newsubsystem or a new component or set of new transformations, in which the goal is toimprove the various functions of the system. To change the target system, change theoutput, achieve the same goal with another set of inputs or to make similarimprovements.The need for fast information systems analysis and accurate research is needed that isby the research literature and conduct field research data and information on therunning system.From results of this analysis is expected to produce an effective work processes andinefficient in terms of continuity of work processes of an organization or institution

Analysis Mooring System Configuration of Submerged Floating Tunnel

Submerged Floating Tunnels (SFT) is a tubular structure that is submerged and floating in depth remains through the system of anchors consisting of a cable connected to the seabed. SFT structure imposed its own weight and is assisted by the buoyancy or uplift caused by water, cross sectin of the tunnel is designed so that buoyancy can overcome the structural weight and experienced a lift force that causes the floating structure. Fastening system (mooring system) also play a role which is to inhibit the SFT structure, minimize displacement and stress caused by environmental burden, such as earthquakes and hydrodynamic load that can aggravate the condition SFT structure in case of crossing the sea with SFT system. SFT will give a fairly small impact on the environment as it floated in the water, and with built using a modular system, the SFT (Submerged Floating Tunnels) can reach a distance long enough and does not cause pollution. Basically the same as the force that occurs archimides principle, where the objects are in the water to get a compressive force to the top. Cross sectional analysis SFT, will be modeled by 7 different models that have been in previous studies. The model\u27s of SFT with steel cable to hold the structure in order to remain strong with the inclination selected. Analysis is done by modeling the triangle wiring configuration with different angle of incliflation cable. The analysis by comparing the test model were made earlier with prototype analyzed numerically. The expected structure did not undergo excessive deformation due to the environmental burden. Therefore, the structure of the SFT will be done with the Abaqus as finite element analysis. So, obvious deformation occurred in the cable. Therefore, it was expected to obtain the optimum angle of inclination was 54º

Dynamic Ecological System Analysis

This article develops a new mathematical method for holistic analysis of nonlinear dynamic compartmental systems through the system decomposition theory. The method is based on the novel dynamic system and subsystem partitioning methodologies through which compartmental systems are decomposed to the utmost level. The dynamic system and subsystem partitioning enable tracking the evolution of the initial stocks, environmental inputs, and intercompartmental system flows, as well as the associated storages derived from these stocks, inputs, and flows individually and separately within the system. Moreover, the transient and the dynamic direct, indirect, acyclic, cycling, and transfer (diact) flows and associated storages transmitted along a given flow path or from one compartment, directly or indirectly, to any other are analytically characterized, systematically classified, and mathematically formulated. Further, the article develops a dynamic technique based on the diact transactions for the quantitative classification of interspecific interactions and the determination of their strength within food webs. Major concepts and quantities of the current static network analyses are also extended to nonlinear dynamic settings and integrated with the proposed dynamic measures and indices within the proposed unifying mathematical framework. Therefore, the proposed methodology enables a holistic view and analysis of ecological systems. We consider that this methodology brings a novel complex system theory to the service of urgent and challenging environmental problems of the day and has the potential to lead the way to a more formalistic ecological science.Comment: 45 pages, 15 figures. arXiv admin note: substantial text overlap with arXiv:1811.11885, arXiv:1811.1042

Design System Analysis of Linear Regression and Correlation of Harddisk Prices and the Dollar Prices Using Visual Basic 6.0

In scientific writing the author only discusses this regression analysis and general linear correlation which describes the relationship of two variables as the price of hard disk and Y variables as the dollar price of the variable X. The purpose of this scientific writing is to get the results of regression analysis equations and simple linear correlation to make a prediction or a more accurate estimate to assist the suppliers or the public to know the price level hard drive on the market to determine the future activities more profitable

Analysis of Regenerative System in Steam Power Plant

The development of any country directly relates on capital energy consumption. The demand for power generation on the large scale is increasing day by day. Owing to their major contribution towards power production, thermal power plants have a vital role to play in the development of nation. Due to the scarcity of power, every power plant needs to be operated at maximum level of efficiency. In case of thermal power plants this applies equally to all its auxiliaries. The feed water heaters form a part of the regenerative system to increase the overall thermal efficiency of the plant. In the operation and maintenance of a power plant the feed water heaters are virtually neglected compared with other components. To realize the effect of feed water heating and an attempt is made in this project work to find the improvement in cycle efficiency due to FWH.nbs

Analysis Information System of Mother and Child Health in Health Service of Musi Banyuasin Regent

Background: The acceleration of AKI, AKB, and AKABA in Indonesia needs to handle and plan rapidly and properly. The KIA information system needs in order to accommodate the qualified information for arranging a good planning. The objective of this research is to analyze the KIA information system in Work field for Health service in Musi Banyuasin Regent. Method: The research design is descriptive study with qualitative approach. The information obtained through detail interview toward nine informants which have been observed and studied the documents. The data analyses used content analysis. The validity test used the triangulation of sources, method, and data. Result: The specific policy has not applied yet to regulate of the implementation of the KIA information system as well as managing the specific budget allocation and facilitating the specific information technology of the KIA information system. Provided SDM in KIA information system however it needs more strategy to improve the competency in SIK and TIK. The collective application data of KIA are available, yet it is inadequacy. The source of KIA service data is only available in Puskesmas there are no data from the other health institutions and it is still retardation of the report collection and Puskesmas also uses conventional method. Conclusion: The KIA Information system in Musi Banyuasin has applied however it still needs the improvement. The Health Service needs to make the specific policy in order to regulate comprehensively of the implementation and the strengthening of KIA information system, with allocating specific budget, the distribution of TI facilitation until to the local Puskesmas and village to regulate the SIK and TIK training schedules in order to enhance the SDM competency, it makes written policy of the report collection with administrative fine, and arrange SPO with exchanging data coordination of the other health service units. Therefore in the future, the information system can run optimally and can result the qualified data or information to overcome the problem involved KIA