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    Essays in financial asset pricing

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    Three essays in financial asset pricing are given; one concerning the partial differential equation (PDE) pricing and hedging of a class of continuous/generalized power mean Asian options, via their (optimal) Lie point symmetry groups, leading to practical pricing formulas. The second presents high-frequency predictions of S&P 500 returns via several machine learning models, statistically significantly demonstrating short-horizon market predictability and economically significantly profitable (beyond transaction costs) trading strategies. The third compares profitability between these [(mean) ensemble] strategies and Asian option Δ-hedging, using results of the first. Interpreting bounds on arithmetic Asian option prices as ask and bid values, hedging profitability depends largely on securing prices closer to the bid, and settling midway between the bid and ask, significant profits are consistently accumulated during the years 2004-2016. Ensemble predictive trading the S&P 500 yields comparatively very small returns, despite trading much more frequently. The pricing and hedging of (arithmetic) Asian options are difficult and have spurred several solution approaches, differing in theoretical insight and practicality. Multiple families of exact solutions to relaxed power mean Asian option pricing boundary-value problems are explicitly established, which approximately satisfy the full pricing problem, and in one case, converge to exact solutions under certain parametric restrictions. Corresponding hedging parameters/ Greeks are derived. This family consists of (optimal) invariant solutions, constructed for the corresponding pricing PDEs. Numerical experiments explore this family behaviorally, achieving reliably accurate pricing. The second chapter studies intraday market return predictability. Regularized linear and nonlinear tree-based models enjoy significant predictability. Ensemble models perform best across time and their return predictability realizes economically significant profits with Sharpe ratios after transaction costs of 0.98. These results strongly evidence that intraday market returns are predictable during short time horizons, beyond that explainable by transaction costs. The lagged constituent returns are shown to hold significant predictive information not contained in lagged market returns or price trend and liquidity characteristics. Consistent with the hypothesis that predictability is driven by slow-moving trader capital, predictability decreased post-decimalization, and market returns are more predictable midday, on days with high volatility or illiquidity, and during financial crises
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