870,597 research outputs found
Analisis Sea Level Rise Menggunakan Data Satelit Altimetri Jason-2 Periode 2008-1012 (Studi Kasus: Laut Utara Jawa Dan Laut Selatan Jawa)
Sea level changes carried by tidal observations at the beach. But, the method as it still has some shortcomings in some ways such as limited coverage areas around the coast so the sea face of changing data is only accurate for a relatively shallow sea close to the shore. The existence of tidal palm should be tied to the tidal station and measured by GPS in order to be bound by such a reference ellipsoid..Advances in the development of satellite technology, especially satellite altimetry is intended to observe ocean phenomena, has helped many observations of sea level temporally. To see the trend of changes in sea level rise do linear regression. Calculating the regression process SLA and linear trend analysis of the data altimetry satellite Jason 2. In this final project the results of this regression will be used also to compare the differences in sea level rise in the North Sea Java and South Sea Java. As long years 2008-2012 with satellite altimetry abservations shows that the phenomenon of sea level rise occurred in the North Sea Java and South Sea Java. Sea level rise occurred in the North Sea Java is equal +10.77 mm/yr. Lowest values occurred in Waters Semarang on pass number 64 is equal to +7.92 mm/yr and the highest occurred in the Waters of Madura on pass number 203 is equal to +15.84 mm/yr. For in the sea south of Java, sea level rise is at +16.79 mm/yr. Lowest values occurred in Waters Prigi on pass number 203 is equal to +12.60 mm/yr. As for the sea level rise occurred in the Waters of Cilacap is at +23.04 mm/yr
Probabilistic Sea-Level Rise Hazard Analysis
This paper proposes a framework termed Probabilistic Sea-Level Rise Hazard Analysis (PSLRHA), to integrate the sea-level rise knowledge of current climate change scientific communities for informed engineering and policy decisions that affect coastal infrastructure, populations, and ecosystems. PSLRHA combines probabilities of all emission scenarios with predictions of the resulting sea-level rise over time, in order to compute sea-level rise hazard. PSLRHA also incorporates uncertainties in those sea-level rise predictions, by considering multiple Sea-Level Rise Prediction Models (SLRPMs). The output of the PSLRHA framework could be a Global Sea-Level Rise Hazard Map (GSLRHM) that can be used for Performance- Based Sea-Level Rise Engineering (PBSLRE)
Tahiti sea level : the last deglacial sea level rise in the South Pacific
Integrated Ocean Drilling Program (IODP) Expedition 310 to the reef terraces around Tahiti, French Polynesia, was the second expedition to utilize a mission-specific platform (MSP) and was conducted by the European Consortium for Ocean Research Drilling (ECORD) Science Operator (ESO). The objectives of Expedition 310 are to establish the course of postglacial sea level rise at Tahiti, to define sea-surface temperature (SST) variations for the region over the period 20–10 ka, and to analyze the impact of sea level changes on reef growth and geometry. To meet these objectives, the postglacial reef sequence, which consists of successive reef terraces seaward of the living barrier reef, was cored from a dynamically positioned vessel during October and November 2005. A total of 37 boreholes across 22 sites were cored in water depths ranging from 41.65 to 117.54 m. Borehole logging operations in 10 boreholes provided continuous geophysical information about the drilled strata. The cores were described during the Onshore Science Party at the IODP Bremen Core Repository during February and March 2006, where minimum and some standard measurements were made. Further postcruise research on samples taken during the Onshore Science Party are expected to fulfill the objectives of the expedition
SEA LEVEL RISE AND EQUITY WEIGHTING
Using the FUND model, an impact assessment is conducted over the 21st century for rises in sea level of up to 2-m/century and a range of national socio-economic scenarios. This model balances the costs of retreat with the costs of protection, including the effects of coastal squeeze. While the costs of sea-level rise increase due to greater damage and protection costs, the model suggests that an optimum response in a benefit-cost sense remains widespread protection of developed coastal areas, as identified in earlier analyses. The socio-economic scenarios are also important in terms of influencing these costs. In terms of the four components of costs considered in FUND, protection seems to dominate, with substantial costs from wetland loss under some scenarios. The regional distribution of costs shows that a few regions experience most of the costs, especially East Asia, North America, Europe and South Asia. Importantly, this analysis suggests that protection is much more likely and rational than is widely assumed, even with a large rise in sea level. However, there are some important limitations to the analysis, which collectively suggest that protection may not be as widespread as suggested in the FUND analysis. Equity weighting allows the damages to be modified to reflect the wealth of those impacted by sea-level rise. Taking these distributional issues into account increases damage estimates by a factor of three, reflecting that the coasts fall disproportionately on poorer developing countries.climate change, sea level rise, equity weighting
Migration patterns under different scenarios of sea level rise
We propose a framework to examine future migration patterns of people under
different sea level rise scenarios using models of human migration.
Specifically, we couple a sea level rise model with a data-driven model of
human migration, creating a generalized joint model of climate driven migration
that can be used to simulate population distributions under potential future
sea level rise scenarios. We show how this joint model relaxes assumptions in
existing efforts to model climate driven human migration, and use it to
simulate how migration, driven by sea level rise, differs from baseline
migration patterns. Our results show that the effects of sea level rise are
pervasive, expanding beyond coastal areas via increased migration, and
disproportionately affecting some areas of the United States. The code for
reproducing this study is available at
https://github.com/calebrob6/migration-slr.Comment: In submission to PLOS On
Salt Marsh Values in a Changing World: Examining Sea Level Rise on Tidal Marshes with a Surface Elevation Table
Rising seas are threatening coastal communities and putting added pressures on the natural environment. Sea level rise rates are increasing on a global scale (from 1.7 to 3.2 mm/yr). Salt marshes are not only intertidal habitats acutely influenced by sea levels, but they also provide key ecosystem services such as: buffers against storm surges, habitat for wildlife, carbon dioxide storage, and pollutant filtration. In New England, salt marshes have built at a rate of 1 to 2 mm annually over the past 4,000 years, which has kept pace with sea level rise. However, we do not know if salt marshes can keep building if sea levels rise at a more rapid rate of 4 mm/yr or greater. To monitor how salt marshes are responding to faster sea level rise, we measured salt marsh accretion and elevation change along the coast of New Hampshire at three different marshes (a total of 11 stations) using marker horizons and a Surface Elevation Table (SET). The SET sites were established in two marshes over a decade ago and more recently at a third marsh in 2011. Data were collected in 2013 and the new rates are compared to previous elevation changes. The major findings included an unprecedented marsh elevation growth rate of 4.3 mm/yr, which shows that our marshes are building at rates fast enough to keep up with the current sea level rise. Furthermore, the rate of salt marsh building appears to be greater than the global sea level rate of 3.2 mm/yr, suggesting our local rate of sea level rise may be greater than 3.2mm/year. Salt marshes could provide a valuable indirect measure of local sea level rise
Simplified model to estimate impact on coastal water resources and loss of shore line land due to climate change and sea level rise
This paper presents a review of past to current observations in the study of climate change and sea-level rise. It appraised the relationship between climate change and sea-level rise, and other drivers on the climate system and factors contributing to sea-level rise. It also highlighting various impacts of climate change and sea-level rise and suggesting short to long term strategies for effective coastal management.A model was developed to provide an estimation of present sea-level rise invariably indicating how much land is lost and how much effect it will have on the water table and rivers especially in coastal areas where there is no data available. To obtain these estimates, numerical modelling was carried out using parameters selected during the study. These parameters with the help of a conversion table produced initial data which were then applied to available Wellington region data for scenarios of 0.5m, 1.0m and 1.5m sea-level rise. Model testing was carried out to measure loss of land and effect of on water table, and satisfactory results were obtained and presented here in. This model hopes to aid in the decision making process of what adaptation methods to employ or implement in certain coastal areas
Sea level rise adaptation: emerging lessons for local policy development
Many coastal communities across the United States are beginning to plan for climate-related sea level rise. While impacts and solutions will vary with local conditions, jurisdictions which have begun this process seem to pass through three common stages when developing policy for local sea level rise adaptation: l) building awareness about local sea level rise threats, 2) undertaking analyses of local vulnerabilities, and 3) developing plans and policies to deal with these vulnerabilities. The purpose of this paper is to help advance community dialogue and further inform local decision-makers about key elements and steps for addressing climate-related sea level rise. It summarizes the results of a project the Marine Policy Institute (MPI) undertook during 2011-12 to review experiences from fourteen U.S. coastal jurisdictions representing a variety of city, county, and state efforts with sea level adaptation. There are many more initiatives underway than those reflected in this sample, but the “focus jurisdictions” were selected because of the extensive information publically available on their experiences and lessons being learned that could provide insights for coastal communities, especially in Southwest Florida
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