51,667 research outputs found
A Tutorial on Estimating Time-Varying Vector Autoregressive Models
Time series of individual subjects have become a common data type in
psychological research. These data allow one to estimate models of
within-subject dynamics, and thereby avoid the notorious problem of making
within-subjects inferences from between-subjects data, and naturally address
heterogeneity between subjects. A popular model for these data is the Vector
Autoregressive (VAR) model, in which each variable is predicted as a linear
function of all variables at previous time points. A key assumption of this
model is that its parameters are constant (or stationary) across time. However,
in many areas of psychological research time-varying parameters are plausible
or even the subject of study. In this tutorial paper, we introduce methods to
estimate time-varying VAR models based on splines and kernel-smoothing
with/without regularization. We use simulations to evaluate the relative
performance of all methods in scenarios typical in applied research, and
discuss their strengths and weaknesses. Finally, we provide a step-by-step
tutorial showing how to apply the discussed methods to an openly available time
series of mood-related measurements
Deconvolution Estimation in Measurement Error Models: The R Package decon
Data from many scientific areas often come with measurement error. Density or distribution function estimation from contaminated data and nonparametric regression with errors in variables are two important topics in measurement error models. In this paper, we present a new software package decon for R, which contains a collection of functions that use the deconvolution kernel methods to deal with the measurement error problems. The functions allow the errors to be either homoscedastic or heteroscedastic. To make the deconvolution estimators computationally more efficient in R, we adapt the fast Fourier transform algorithm for density estimation with error-free data to the deconvolution kernel estimation. We discuss the practical selection of the smoothing parameter in deconvolution methods and illustrate the use of the package through both simulated and real examples.
Statistical inference for semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear models with error-prone linear covariates
We study semiparametric varying-coefficient partially linear models when some
linear covariates are not observed, but ancillary variables are available.
Semiparametric profile least-square based estimation procedures are developed
for parametric and nonparametric components after we calibrate the error-prone
covariates. Asymptotic properties of the proposed estimators are established.
We also propose the profile least-square based ratio test and Wald test to
identify significant parametric and nonparametric components. To improve
accuracy of the proposed tests for small or moderate sample sizes, a wild
bootstrap version is also proposed to calculate the critical values. Intensive
simulation experiments are conducted to illustrate the proposed approaches.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/07-AOS561 the Annals of
Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical
Statistics (http://www.imstat.org
Multi-path Probabilistic Available Bandwidth Estimation through Bayesian Active Learning
Knowing the largest rate at which data can be sent on an end-to-end path such
that the egress rate is equal to the ingress rate with high probability can be
very practical when choosing transmission rates in video streaming or selecting
peers in peer-to-peer applications. We introduce probabilistic available
bandwidth, which is defined in terms of ingress rates and egress rates of
traffic on a path, rather than in terms of capacity and utilization of the
constituent links of the path like the standard available bandwidth metric. In
this paper, we describe a distributed algorithm, based on a probabilistic
graphical model and Bayesian active learning, for simultaneously estimating the
probabilistic available bandwidth of multiple paths through a network. Our
procedure exploits the fact that each packet train provides information not
only about the path it traverses, but also about any path that shares a link
with the monitored path. Simulations and PlanetLab experiments indicate that
this process can dramatically reduce the number of probes required to generate
accurate estimates
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