112,177 research outputs found
Evaluation methods and decision theory for classification of streaming data with temporal dependence
Predictive modeling on data streams plays an important role in modern data analysis, where data arrives continuously and needs to be mined in real time. In the stream setting the data distribution is often evolving over time, and models that update themselves during operation are becoming the state-of-the-art. This paper formalizes a learning and evaluation scheme of such predictive models. We theoretically analyze evaluation of classifiers on streaming data with temporal dependence. Our findings suggest that the commonly accepted data stream classification measures, such as classification accuracy and Kappa statistic, fail to diagnose cases of poor performance when temporal dependence is present, therefore they should not be used as sole performance indicators. Moreover, classification accuracy can be misleading if used as a proxy for evaluating change detectors with datasets that have temporal dependence. We formulate the decision theory for streaming data classification with temporal dependence and develop a new evaluation methodology for data stream classification that takes temporal dependence into account. We propose a combined measure for classification performance, that takes into account temporal dependence, and we recommend using it as the main performance measure in classification of streaming data
Mining developer communication data streams
This paper explores the concepts of modelling a software development project
as a process that results in the creation of a continuous stream of data. In
terms of the Jazz repository used in this research, one aspect of that stream
of data would be developer communication. Such data can be used to create an
evolving social network characterized by a range of metrics. This paper
presents the application of data stream mining techniques to identify the most
useful metrics for predicting build outcomes. Results are presented from
applying the Hoeffding Tree classification method used in conjunction with the
Adaptive Sliding Window (ADWIN) method for detecting concept drift. The results
indicate that only a small number of the available metrics considered have any
significance for predicting the outcome of a build
Next challenges for adaptive learning systems
Learning from evolving streaming data has become a 'hot' research topic in the last decade and many adaptive learning algorithms have been developed. This research was stimulated by rapidly growing amounts of industrial, transactional, sensor and other business data that arrives in real time and needs to be mined in real time. Under such circumstances, constant manual adjustment of models is in-efficient and with increasing amounts of data is becoming infeasible. Nevertheless, adaptive learning models are still rarely employed in business applications in practice. In the light of rapidly growing structurally rich 'big data', new generation of parallel computing solutions and cloud computing services as well as recent advances in portable computing devices, this article aims to identify the current key research directions to be taken to bring the adaptive learning closer to application needs. We identify six forthcoming challenges in designing and building adaptive learning (pre-diction) systems: making adaptive systems scalable, dealing with realistic data, improving usability and trust, integrat-ing expert knowledge, taking into account various application needs, and moving from adaptive algorithms towards adaptive tools. Those challenges are critical for the evolving stream settings, as the process of model building needs to be fully automated and continuous.</jats:p
Decision Stream: Cultivating Deep Decision Trees
Various modifications of decision trees have been extensively used during the
past years due to their high efficiency and interpretability. Tree node
splitting based on relevant feature selection is a key step of decision tree
learning, at the same time being their major shortcoming: the recursive nodes
partitioning leads to geometric reduction of data quantity in the leaf nodes,
which causes an excessive model complexity and data overfitting. In this paper,
we present a novel architecture - a Decision Stream, - aimed to overcome this
problem. Instead of building a tree structure during the learning process, we
propose merging nodes from different branches based on their similarity that is
estimated with two-sample test statistics, which leads to generation of a deep
directed acyclic graph of decision rules that can consist of hundreds of
levels. To evaluate the proposed solution, we test it on several common machine
learning problems - credit scoring, twitter sentiment analysis, aircraft flight
control, MNIST and CIFAR image classification, synthetic data classification
and regression. Our experimental results reveal that the proposed approach
significantly outperforms the standard decision tree learning methods on both
regression and classification tasks, yielding a prediction error decrease up to
35%
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