Stochastic Switching Games and Duopolistic Competition in Emissions Markets

We study optimal behavior of energy producers under a CO_2 emission abatement program. We focus on a two-player discrete-time model where each producer is sequentially optimizing her emission and production schedules. The game-theoretic aspect is captured through a reduced-form price-impact model for the CO_2 allowance price. Such duopolistic competition results in a new type of a non-zero-sum stochastic switching game on finite horizon. Existence of game Nash equilibria is established through generalization to randomized switching strategies. No uniqueness is possible and we therefore consider a variety of correlated equilibrium mechanisms. We prove existence of correlated equilibrium points in switching games and give a recursive description of equilibrium game values. A simulation-based algorithm to solve for the game values is constructed and a numerical example is presented.Comment: Revised version, 24 page

Unilaterally Competitive Multi-Player Stopping Games

A multi-player competitive Dynkin stopping game is constructed. Each player can either exit the game for a fixed payoff, determined a priori, or stay and receive an adjusted payoff depending on the decision of other players. The single period case is shown to be "weakly unilaterally competitive". We present an explicit construction of the unique value at which Nash and optimal equilibria are attained. Multiple period generalisations are explored. The game has interpretations in economic and financial contexts, for example, as a consumption model with bounded resources. It also serves as a starting point to the construction of multi-person financial game options. In particular, the concept of optimal equilibria becomes pivotal in the pricing of the game options via super-replication.Comment: 25 pages, 2 figure

Dynkin Games and Israeli Options

We start briefly surveying research on optimal stopping games since their introduction by E.B.Dynkin more than 40 years ago. Recent renewed interest to dynkin's games is due, in particular, to the study of Israeli (game) options introduced in 2000. We discuss the work on these options and related derivative securities for the last decade. Among various results on game options we consider error estimates for their discrete approximations, swing game options, game options in markets with transaction costs and other questions.Comment: survey articl