The Alzheimer's Disease Prediction Of Longitudinal Evolution (TADPOLE) Challenge: Results after 1 Year Follow-up

We present the findings of "The Alzheimer's Disease Prediction Of Longitudinal Evolution" (TADPOLE) Challenge, which compared the performance of 92 algorithms from 33 international teams at predicting the future trajectory of 219 individuals at risk of Alzheimer's disease. Challenge participants were required to make a prediction, for each month of a 5-year future time period, of three key outcomes: clinical diagnosis, Alzheimer's Disease Assessment Scale Cognitive Subdomain (ADAS-Cog13), and total volume of the ventricles. No single submission was best at predicting all three outcomes. For clinical diagnosis and ventricle volume prediction, the best algorithms strongly outperform simple baselines in predictive ability. However, for ADAS-Cog13 no single submitted prediction method was significantly better than random guessing. Two ensemble methods based on taking the mean and median over all predictions, obtained top scores on almost all tasks. Better than average performance at diagnosis prediction was generally associated with the additional inclusion of features from cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) samples and diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). On the other hand, better performance at ventricle volume prediction was associated with inclusion of summary statistics, such as patient-specific biomarker trends. The submission system remains open via the website https://tadpole.grand-challenge.org, while code for submissions is being collated by TADPOLE SHARE: https://tadpole-share.github.io/. Our work suggests that current prediction algorithms are accurate for biomarkers related to clinical diagnosis and ventricle volume, opening up the possibility of cohort refinement in clinical trials for Alzheimer's disease

Effective and Secure Healthcare Machine Learning System with Explanations Based on High Quality Crowdsourcing Data

Affordable cloud computing technologies allow users to efficiently outsource, store, and manage their Personal Health Records (PHRs) and share with their caregivers or physicians. With this exponential growth of the stored large scale clinical data and the growing need for personalized care, researchers are keen on developing data mining methodologies to learn efficient hidden patterns in such data. While studies have shown that those progresses can significantly improve the performance of various healthcare applications for clinical decision making and personalized medicine, the collected medical datasets are highly ambiguous and noisy. Thus, it is essential to develop a better tool for disease progression and survival rate predictions, where dataset needs to be cleaned before it is used for predictions and useful feature selection techniques need to be employed before prediction models can be constructed. In addition, having predictions without explanations prevent medical personnel and patients from adopting such healthcare deep learning models. Thus, any prediction models must come with some explanations. Finally, despite the efficiency of machine learning systems and their outstanding prediction performance, it is still a risk to reuse pre-trained models since most machine learning modules that are contributed and maintained by third parties lack proper checking to ensure that they are robust to various adversarial attacks. We need to design mechanisms for detection such attacks. In this thesis, we focus on addressing all the above issues: (i) Privacy Preserving Disease Treatment & Complication Prediction System (PDTCPS): A privacy-preserving disease treatment, complication prediction scheme (PDTCPS) is proposed, which allows authorized users to conduct searches for disease diagnosis, personalized treatments, and prediction of potential complications. (ii) Incentivizing High Quality Crowdsourcing Data For Disease Prediction: A new incentive model with individual rationality and platform profitability features is developed to encourage different hospitals to share high quality data so that better prediction models can be constructed. We also explore how data cleaning and feature selection techniques affect the performance of the prediction models. (iii) Explainable Deep Learning Based Medical Diagnostic System: A deep learning based medical diagnosis system (DL-MDS) is present which integrates heterogeneous medical data sources to produce better disease diagnosis with explanations for authorized users who submit their personalized health related queries. (iv) Attacks on RNN based Healthcare Learning Systems and Their Detection & Defense Mechanisms: Potential attacks on Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) based ML systems are identified and low-cost detection & defense schemes are designed to prevent such adversarial attacks. Finally, we conduct extensive experiments using both synthetic and real-world datasets to validate the feasibility and practicality of our proposed systems

The symphony of cacophony: understanding the order in neurodegenerative diseases

Neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease are notoriously heterogeneous; pathologically as well as in their clinical presentation in patients. There are differences between patients in terms of the pathways of progression, the speed of progression, and the effect the progression has on the patient's cognition. This myriad of differences not only makes clinical diagnosis very challenging, but also has major implications for the efficacy of drug trials. As heterogeneous as these diseases are, there is an underlying order in their progression. An underlying method to their disruption of homeostasis. An underlying symphony leading to the cacophony

VI Workshop on Computational Data Analysis and Numerical Methods: Book of Abstracts

The VI Workshop on Computational Data Analysis and Numerical Methods (WCDANM) is going to be held on June 27-29, 2019, in the Department of Mathematics of the University of Beira Interior (UBI), Covilhã, Portugal and it is a unique opportunity to disseminate scientific research related to the areas of Mathematics in general, with particular relevance to the areas of Computational Data Analysis and Numerical Methods in theoretical and/or practical field, using new techniques, giving especial emphasis to applications in Medicine, Biology, Biotechnology, Engineering, Industry, Environmental Sciences, Finance, Insurance, Management and Administration. The meeting will provide a forum for discussion and debate of ideas with interest to the scientific community in general. With this meeting new scientific collaborations among colleagues, namely new collaborations in Masters and PhD projects are expected. The event is open to the entire scientific community (with or without communication/poster)

Automatic Detection of Dementia and related Affective Disorders through Processing of Speech and Language

In 2019, dementia is has become a trillion dollar disorder. Alzheimer’s disease (AD) is a type of dementia in which the main observable symptom is a decline in cognitive functions, notably memory, as well as language and problem-solving. Experts agree that early detection is crucial to effectively develop and apply interventions and treatments, underlining the need for effective and pervasive assessment and screening tools. The goal of this thesis is to explores how computational techniques can be used to process speech and language samples produced by patients suffering from dementia or related affective disorders, to the end of automatically detecting them in large populations us- ing machine learning models. A strong focus is laid on the detection of early stage dementia (MCI), as most clinical trials today focus on intervention at this level. To this end, novel automatic and semi-automatic analysis schemes for a speech-based cogni- tive task, i.e., verbal fluency, are explored and evaluated to be an appropriate screening task. Due to a lack of available patient data in most languages, world-first multilingual approaches to detecting dementia are introduced in this thesis. Results are encouraging and clear benefits on a small French dataset become visible. Lastly, the task of detecting these people with dementia who also suffer from an affective disorder called apathy is explored. Since they are more likely to convert into later stage of dementia faster, it is crucial to identify them. These are the fist experiments that consider this task us- ing solely speech and language as inputs. Results are again encouraging, both using only speech or language data elicited using emotional questions. Overall, strong results encourage further research in establishing speech-based biomarkers for early detection and monitoring of these disorders to better patients’ lives.Im Jahr 2019 ist Demenz zu einer Billionen-Dollar-Krankheit geworden. Die Alzheimer- Krankheit (AD) ist eine Form der Demenz, bei der das Hauptsymptom eine Abnahme der kognitiven Funktionen ist, insbesondere des Gedächtnisses sowie der Sprache und des Problemlösungsvermögens. Experten sind sich einig, dass eine frühzeitige Erkennung entscheidend für die effektive Entwicklung und Anwendung von Interventionen und Behandlungen ist, was den Bedarf an effektiven und durchgängigen Bewertungsund Screening-Tools unterstreicht. Das Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es zu erforschen, wie computergest ützte Techniken eingesetzt werden können, um Sprach- und Sprechproben von Patienten, die an Demenz oder verwandten affektiven Störungen leiden, zu verarbeiten, mit dem Ziel, diese in großen Populationen mit Hilfe von maschinellen Lernmodellen automatisch zu erkennen. Ein starker Fokus liegt auf der Erkennung von Demenz im Frühstadium (MCI), da sich die meisten klinischen Studien heute auf eine Intervention auf dieser Ebene konzentrieren. Zu diesem Zweck werden neuartige automatische und halbautomatische Analyseschemata für eine sprachbasierte kognitive Aufgabe, d.h. die verbale Geläufigkeit, erforscht und als geeignete Screening-Aufgabe bewertet. Aufgrund des Mangels an verfügbaren Patientendaten in den meisten Sprachen werden in dieser Arbeit weltweit erstmalig mehrsprachige Ansätze zur Erkennung von Demenz vorgestellt. Die Ergebnisse sind ermutigend und es werden deutliche Vorteile an einem kleinen französischen Datensatz sichtbar. Schließlich wird die Aufgabe untersucht, jene Menschen mit Demenz zu erkennen, die auch an einer affektiven Störung namens Apathie leiden. Da sie mit größerer Wahrscheinlichkeit schneller in ein späteres Stadium der Demenz übergehen, ist es entscheidend, sie zu identifizieren. Dies sind die ersten Experimente, die diese Aufgabe unter ausschließlicher Verwendung von Sprache und Sprache als Input betrachten. Die Ergebnisse sind wieder ermutigend, sowohl bei der Verwendung von reiner Sprache als auch bei der Verwendung von Sprachdaten, die durch emotionale Fragen ausgelöst werden. Insgesamt sind die Ergebnisse sehr ermutigend und ermutigen zu weiterer Forschung, um sprachbasierte Biomarker für die Früherkennung und Überwachung dieser Erkrankungen zu etablieren und so das Leben der Patienten zu verbessern

Current Perspectives on Viral Disease Outbreaks

The COVID-19 pandemic has reminded the world that infectious diseases are still important. The last 40 years have experienced the emergence of new or resurging viral diseases such as AIDS, ebola, MERS, SARS, Zika, and others. These diseases display diverse epidemiologies ranging from sexual transmission to vector-borne transmission (or both, in the case of Zika). This book provides an overview of recent developments in the detection, monitoring, treatment, and control of several viral diseases that have caused recent epidemics or pandemics

Ranaviruses: Lethal Pathogens of Ectothermic Vertebrates

Animal Ecology; Environmental Health; Fish & Wildlife Biology & Management; Virology; Freshwater & Marine Ecology; Conservation Biology/Ecolog

Coarse-grained modeling for molecular discovery:Applications to cardiolipin-selectivity

The development of novel materials is pivotal for addressing global challenges such as achieving sustainability, technological progress, and advancements in medical technology. Traditionally, developing or designing new molecules was a resource-intensive endeavor, often reliant on serendipity. Given the vast space of chemically feasible drug-like molecules, estimated between 106 - 10100 compounds, traditional in vitro techniques fall short.Consequently, in silico tools such as virtual screening and molecular modeling have gained increasing recognition. However, the computational cost and the limited precision of the utilized molecular models still limit computational molecular design.This thesis aimed to enhance the molecular design process by integrating multiscale modeling and free energy calculations. Employing a coarse-grained model allowed us to efficiently traverse a significant portion of chemical space and reduce the sampling time required by molecular dynamics simulations. The physics-informed nature of the applied Martini force field and its level of retained structural detail make the model a suitable starting point for the focused learning of molecular properties.We applied our proposed approach to a cardiolipin bilayer, posing a relevant and challenging problem and facilitating reasonable comparison to experimental measurements.We identified promising molecules with defined properties within the resolution limit of a coarse-grained representation. Furthermore, we were able to bridge the gap from in silico predictions to in vitro and in vivo experiments, supporting the validity of the theoretical concept. The findings underscore the potential of multiscale modeling and free-energy calculations in enhancing molecular discovery and design and offer a promising direction for future research