496,721 research outputs found
2004 Presidential Election: Who Won The Popular Vote? An Examination of the Comparative Validity of Exit Poll and Vote Count Data
* There is a substantial discrepancy -- well outside the margin of error and outcomedeterminative -- between the national exit poll and the popular vote count.* The possible causes of the discrepancy would be random error, a skewed exit poll, or breakdown in the fairness of the voting process and accuracy of the vote count.* Analysis shows that the discrepancy cannot reasonably be accounted for by chance or random error.* Evidence does not support hypotheses that the discrepancy was produced by problems with the exit poll.* Widespread breakdown in the fairness of the voting process and accuracy of the vote count are the most likely explanations for the discrepancy.* In an accurate count of a free and fair election, the strong likelihood is that Kerry would have been the winner of the popular vote.This document was originally published by Verified Vote 2004, and is authored by Jonathan Simon, currently with Election Defense Alliance
Challenges to Fair Elections 5: Poll Worker Training
If elections are the foundation of our democracy, then poll workers are the gears and wheels that make the mechanics of democracy function on Election Day. Regrettably, this human factor is often overlooked and under-supported. States squeak by each year with a bare minimum of poll workers who receive inadequate training for an increasingly complex task. Recent surveys, press accounts, and troubled primary elections attest to the problem
MA Special Senate Election Poll 1/10/2010
TITLE: MA Democratic Primary Election Poll 11/22/200
India poll 2013
This paper presents the results of a comprehensive survey on the attitudes of Indian citizens towards their future in the world.
Key issues covered in the poll include: Indian perceptions of India\u27s economic future, India\u27s role in the world, domestic policy priorities, the challenge of corruption, and relations with other countries including China, the United States and Pakistan.The India Poll 2013 is a collaboration between the Lowy Institute for International Policy and the Australia India Institute.
Key findings:
74% of Indians are optimistic about the prospects for India\u27s economy
80-85% of Indians see shortages of energy, food and water as big threats to their country\u27s security, while 94% consider Pakistan a threat, and 83% consider China a threat
95% of Indians support the democratic rights of fair trial, free expression and the right to vote
96% of Indians think corruption is holding India bac
Recent Polling on Public Perceptions of Climate Change
A 2008 collection of polling data on public perceptions of climate change, including:CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll: June 26-29, 2008; sampled 1026 adults nationwide49% feel that the protection of the environment should be given priority even at the risk of curbing economic growth.CNN/Opinion Research Corporation Poll: June 4-5, 2008; sampled 1035 adults nationwide.54% believe that global warming is a proven fact and is mostly caused by emissions from cars and industrial facilities such as power plants and factories.52% would favor a plan to reduce global warming where the government sets up a cap and trade system for polluting industries
India-Australia poll 2013
This survey of Indian public attitudes towards Australia presents some surprising results. It reveals broadly positive views towards Australia, but lingering concerns about student safety.
Key issues covered in the poll include: Indian perceptions of Australian governance and society, education in Australia, the Indian media, uranium sales to India, Indian Ocean security, and cricket. The India-Australia Poll is a collaboration between the Lowy Institute for International Policy and the Australia India Institute.
Key findings:
A 60% majority of Indians think it would be better if India\u27s government and society worked more like Australia. This places Australia roughly equal to Japan and Singapore. Of the 10 countries surveyed only the United States ranked better, at 78%.
75% of Indians view Australia as a good place to be educated, ranking 2nd only after the United States (83%).
62% percent of Indians think Australia remains a dangerous place for Indian student, although 53% say it is safer than it was a few years ago and 64% say any country can be dangerous for Indian students if they are not careful.
 
Prediction Markets: Alternative Mechanisms for Complex Environments with Few Traders
Double auction prediction markets have proven successful in large-scale applications such as elections and sporting events. Consequently, several large corporations have adopted these markets for smaller-scale internal applications where information may be complex and the number of traders is small. Using laboratory experiments, we test the performance of the double auction in complex environments with few traders and compare it to three alternative mechanisms. When information is complex we find that an iterated poll (or Delphi method) outperforms the double auction mechanism. We present five behavioral observations that may explain why the poll performs better in these settings
California's Proposition 8: What Happened, and What Does the Future Hold?
Analyzes the characteristics of voters most likely to have supported or opposed Proposition 8 in 2008, including party affiliation, religiosity, and age. Reviews exit poll data suggesting strong African-American support for the measure
Public Opinion Poll: Executive Summary
Outlines survey findings on Americans' views on college sports, including commercialization, professionalization, coaches' salaries, athletes' welfare, effects on other departments, and links between athletics success, expenses, and alumni donations
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