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How Does Wind Project Performance Change with Age in the United States?
Wind-plant performance declines with age, and the rate of decline varies between regions. The rate of performance decline is important when determining wind-plant financial viability and expected lifetime generation. We determine the rate of age-related performance decline in the United States wind fleet by evaluating generation records from 917 plants. We find the rate of performance decline to be 0.53%/year for older vintages of plants and 0.17%/year for newer vintages of plants on an energy basis for the first 10 years of operation, which is on the lower end of prior estimates in Europe. Unique to the United States, we find a significant drop in performance by 3.6% after 10 years, as plants lose eligibility for the production tax credit. Certain plant characteristics, such as the ratio of blade length to nameplate capacity, influence the rate of performance decline. These results indicate that the performance decline rate can be partially managed and influenced by policy
The effect of insect herbivory on the growth and fitness of introduced Verbascum thapsus L.
A majority of the plant species that are introduced into new ranges either do not become established, or become naturalized yet do not attain high densities and are thus considered ecologically and economically unproblematic. The factors that limit these relatively “benign” species are not well studied. The biotic resistance hypothesis predicts that herbivores, pathogens and competition reduce growth and reproduction of individual plants and so suppress population growth of non-native species. We explored the effect of insect herbivory and surrounding vegetation on growth and fitness of the non-native biennial plant Verbascum thapsus (common mullein) in Colorado, USA. Mullein is widespread in its introduced North American range, yet is infrequently considered a management concern because populations are often ephemeral and restricted to disturbed sites. To evaluate the impact of insect herbivores on mullein performance, we reduced herbivory using an insecticide treatment and compared sprayed plants to those exposed to ambient levels of herbivory. Reducing herbivory increased survival from rosette to reproduction by 7%, from 70–77%. Of plants that survived, reducing herbivory increased plant area in the first year and plant height, the length of the reproductive spike, and seed set during the second year. Reducing herbivory also had a marked effect on plant fitness, increasing seed set by 50%, from about 48,000 seeds per plant under ambient herbivory to about 98,000 per plant under reduced herbivory. Our findings also highlight that the relationship between herbivory and performance is complex. Among plants exposed to ambient herbivory, we observed a positive relationship between damage and performance, suggesting that, as predicted by the plant vigor hypothesis, insect herbivores choose the largest plants for feeding when their choice is not restricted by insecticide treatment. In contrast to the strong effects of experimentally reduced herbivory, we found that cover of other plants surrounding our focal plants explained relatively little variation in performance outcomes. Overall, we found that herbivore-induced impacts on individual plant performance and seed set are substantial, and thus may help prevent this naturalized species from becoming dominant in undisturbed recipient communities
Using numerical plant models and phenotypic correlation space to design achievable ideotypes
Numerical plant models can predict the outcome of plant traits modifications
resulting from genetic variations, on plant performance, by simulating
physiological processes and their interaction with the environment.
Optimization methods complement those models to design ideotypes, i.e. ideal
values of a set of plant traits resulting in optimal adaptation for given
combinations of environment and management, mainly through the maximization of
a performance criteria (e.g. yield, light interception). As use of simulation
models gains momentum in plant breeding, numerical experiments must be
carefully engineered to provide accurate and attainable results, rooting them
in biological reality. Here, we propose a multi-objective optimization
formulation that includes a metric of performance, returned by the numerical
model, and a metric of feasibility, accounting for correlations between traits
based on field observations. We applied this approach to two contrasting
models: a process-based crop model of sunflower and a functional-structural
plant model of apple trees. In both cases, the method successfully
characterized key plant traits and identified a continuum of optimal solutions,
ranging from the most feasible to the most efficient. The present study thus
provides successful proof of concept for this enhanced modeling approach, which
identified paths for desirable trait modification, including direction and
intensity.Comment: 25 pages, 5 figures, 2017, Plant, Cell and Environmen
How does Labour Mobility affect the Performance of Plants? The importance of relatedness and geographical proximity
This paper analyses the impact of skill portfolios and labour mobility on plant performance by means of a unique database that connects attributes of individuals to features of plants for the whole Swedish economy. We found that a portfolio of related competences at the plant level increases significantly productivity growth of plants, in contrast to plant portfolios consisting of either similar or unrelated competences. Based on the analysis of 101,093 job moves, we found that inflows of skills that are related to the existing knowledge base of the plant had a positive effect on plant performance, while the inflow of new employees with skills that are already present in the plant had a negative impact. Our analyses also show that geographical proximity influences the effect of different skill inflows. Inflows of unrelated skills only contribute positively to plant performance when these are recruited in the same region. Labour mobility across regions only has a positive effect on productivity growth of plants when this concerns new employees with related skills.Labour mobility; related variety; skill portfolio; plant performance; geographical proximi
Cooperative Robust Estimation with Local Performance Guarantees
The paper considers the problem of cooperative estimation for a linear
uncertain plant observed by a network of communicating sensors. We take a novel
approach by treating the filtering problem from the view point of local sensors
while the network interconnections are accounted for via an uncertain signals
modelling of estimation performance of other nodes. That is, the information
communicated between the nodes is treated as the true plant information subject
to perturbations, and each node is endowed with certain believes about these
perturbations during the filter design. The proposed distributed filter
achieves a suboptimal consensus performance. Furthermore, local
performance of each estimator is also assessed given additional constraints on
the performance of the other nodes. These conditions are shown to be useful in
tuning the desired estimation performance of the sensor network.Comment: 2016 American Control Conference, Boston, 201
The influence of plant fertilisation regime on plant-aphid-parasitoid interactions
This thesis examines effects of plant fertilisation regime on herbivore and parasitoid performance for two aphids, Macrosiphum euphorbiae and Myzus persicae, and one parasitoid wasp, Aphidius ervi. Herbivore performance was measured as adult fresh weight and intrinsic rate of increase. Parasitoid performance was measured as length of hind tibia, sex ratio, and in a series of choice experiments also parasitoid development time and parasitization rate was measured. Comparisons were made between the performance of M. euphorbiae on two different plant species, petunia and sweet pepper, between the performance of the aphids M. euphorbiae and M. persicae on sweet pepper, and between the performance of A. ervi in M. euphorbiae and in M. persicae on sweet pepper. The performance of M. euphorbiae was better on petunia than on sweet pepper. On petunia a positive effect of plant content of potassium and indications of a positive effect of nitrogen fertilisation were found while on sweet pepper both nitrogen and of potassium had negative influence. On both plant species, however, a negative influence of sulphur was found. The two aphid species reacted differently to fertilisation and plant content of nutrients. For M. euphorbiae fresh weight was decreased by fertilisation while for M. persicae the influence varied with experiment. For M. persicae a high N:K ratio was favourable while for M. euphorbiae plant contents of N and K were both negative. Plant content of sulphur and potassium influenced tibia length of A. ervi positively in M. euphorbiae. In M. persicae plant fertilisation was positive but the composition of the plant fertilisation did not seem important for the parasitoid. Plant fertilisation enhanced parasitization rate in M. euphorbiae but not in M. persicae. Parasitoid performance was, however, more improved by fertilisation in M. persicae than in M. euphorbiae. The parasitoid both preferred, and developed faster in, M. persicae compared to M. euphorbiae. The results of this study show that it is possible to influence both aphid performance and performance of A. ervi with plant fertilisation but the influence varies with both plant and aphid species
Privatization in Colombia: A Plant Performance Analysis
This paper describes the privatization program carried out in the productive sector of the Colombian economy during the 1990s. It evaluates privatization within the policy context of general market deregulation and the promotion of private investment in the provision of public infrastructure and domiciliary public services. Two case studies are explored: the manufacturing and power sectors. The paper follows the ex-post measuring and econometric analysis of a set of operative and restructuring performance indicators for the privatized firms. For manufacturing, the study sample consists of 30 large manufacturing firms of which the Instituto de Fomento Industrial was the founding or supporting partner. The main findings suggest that those firms followed pro-cyclical behavior relative to their private competitors and undertook tight plant operative restructuring. For the power sector, the paper studies the impact of regulatory reform on market entry, ownership structure, market competition, and productive efficiency of the privatized holdings. The results suggest that privatization and entry competition in power generation have had a positive effect on the privatized utilities’ efficiency and investment. With respect to thermal generation, the measurement of productive efficiency follows a data envelope analysis technique based on a sample of 33 plants that account for 85% of the installed capacity. The sample units are plants that were active before the reform and new entrants that started business operations after the reform. The main outcome shows that efficiency scores have improved after the reform and that regulatory policy has had a positive effect on productive efficiency.
A method for comparing the performance of power plants for vertical flight
A new method of power plant selection for vertical flight is proposed. It can be used to determine whether the performance of a rocket design can be improved by substituting for the rocket motor a different power plant such as a ramjet. Calculations indicate that there are advantages in using the ramjet provided the power plant can be made to operate under rapid acceleration and at high altitudes
Machine learning-based prediction of a BOS reactor performance from operating parameters
A machine learning-based analysis was applied to process data obtained from a Basic Oxygen Steelmaking (BOS) pilot plant. The first purpose was to identify correlations between operating parameters and reactor performance, defined as rate of decarburization (dc/dt). Correlation analysis showed, as expected a strong positive correlation between the rate of decarburization (dc/dt) and total oxygen flow. On the other hand, the decarburization rate exhibited a negative correlation with lance height. Less obviously, the decarburization rate, also showed a positive correlation with temperature of the waste gas and CO2 content in the waste gas. The second purpose was to train the pilot-plant dataset and develop a neural network based regression to predict the decarburization rate. This was used to predict the decarburization rate in a BOS furnace in an actual manufacturing plant based on lance height and total oxygen flow. The performance was satisfactory with a coefficient of determination of 0.98, confirming that the trained model can adequately predict the variation in the decarburization rate (dc/dt) within BOS reactors. View Full-Tex
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