Estimating conditional quantiles with the help of the pinball loss

The so-called pinball loss for estimating conditional quantiles is a well-known tool in both statistics and machine learning. So far, however, only little work has been done to quantify the efficiency of this tool for nonparametric approaches. We fill this gap by establishing inequalities that describe how close approximate pinball risk minimizers are to the corresponding conditional quantile. These inequalities, which hold under mild assumptions on the data-generating distribution, are then used to establish so-called variance bounds, which recently turned out to play an important role in the statistical analysis of (regularized) empirical risk minimization approaches. Finally, we use both types of inequalities to establish an oracle inequality for support vector machines that use the pinball loss. The resulting learning rates are min--max optimal under some standard regularity assumptions on the conditional quantile.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.3150/10-BEJ267 the Bernoulli (http://isi.cbs.nl/bernoulli/) by the International Statistical Institute/Bernoulli Society (http://isi.cbs.nl/BS/bshome.htm

Anisotropic oracle inequalities in noisy quantization

The effect of errors in variables in quantization is investigated. We prove general exact and non-exact oracle inequalities with fast rates for an empirical minimization based on a noisy sample $Z_i=X_i+\epsilon_i,i=1,\ldots,n$, where $X_i$ are i.i.d. with density $f$ and $\epsilon_i$ are i.i.d. with density $\eta$. These rates depend on the geometry of the density $f$ and the asymptotic behaviour of the characteristic function of $\eta$. This general study can be applied to the problem of $k$-means clustering with noisy data. For this purpose, we introduce a deconvolution $k$-means stochastic minimization which reaches fast rates of convergence under standard Pollard's regularity assumptions.Comment: 30 pages. arXiv admin note: text overlap with arXiv:1205.141

Simultaneous adaptation to the margin and to complexity in classification

We consider the problem of adaptation to the margin and to complexity in binary classification. We suggest an exponential weighting aggregation scheme. We use this aggregation procedure to construct classifiers which adapt automatically to margin and complexity. Two main examples are worked out in which adaptivity is achieved in frameworks proposed by Steinwart and Scovel [Learning Theory. Lecture Notes in Comput. Sci. 3559 (2005) 279--294. Springer, Berlin; Ann. Statist. 35 (2007) 575--607] and Tsybakov [Ann. Statist. 32 (2004) 135--166]. Adaptive schemes, like ERM or penalized ERM, usually involve a minimization step. This is not the case for our procedure.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/009053607000000055 the Annals of Statistics (http://www.imstat.org/aos/) by the Institute of Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org