Optimizing evacuation instructions while anticipating traveler compliance behavior

Instructing evacuees on their departure time, destination and route can lead to more efficient traffic operations. Empirical findings on evacuation behavior support the view that in practice a share of travelers decides not to comply, while current evacuation plan optimization techniques are limited to assessing mandatory evacuation under the assumption of full compliance. In this contribution we show I) how traveler compliance behavior affects evacuation efficiency, and II) how evacuation efficiency can be improved in case of partial compliance when this traveler compliance is anticipated on. The optimization method and case study application presented here underline the relevance and importance of capturing traveler compliance behavior, as this has a large impact upon the evacuation efficiency

A review of traffic models for wildland-urban interface wildfire evacuation

Recent years have seen an increased prevalence of wildfires, some of which has spread into the wildland-urban interface and lead to large-scale evacuations. Large-scale evacuations gives rise to both logistical and traffic related issues. To aid in the planning and execution of such evacuations reliable modelling tools to simulate evacuation traffic are needed. Today no traffic model exists which is dedicated only to simulate wildfire evacuation in the wildland/urban interface. The aim of this thesis is to identify benchmark characteristics needed in such a model and review 12 existing models, both traffic models and evacuation models, and their potential usefulness in WUI wildfire scenarios. The thesis concludes that some models can be tuned to represent aspects of a WUI fire evacuation and that future research should focus on integrating traffic modelling with modelling of fire/smoke spread and pedestrian movement

e-Sanctuary: open multi-physics framework for modelling wildfire urban evacuation

The number of evacuees worldwide during wildfire keep rising, year after year. Fire evacuations at the wildland-urban interfaces (WUI) pose a serious challenge to fire and emergency services and are a global issue affecting thousands of communities around the world. But to date, there is a lack of comprehensive tools able to inform, train or aid the evacuation response and the decision making in case of wildfire. The present work describes a novel framework for modelling wildfire urban evacuations. The framework is based on multi-physics simulations that can quantify the evacuation performance. The work argues that an integrated approached requires considering and integrating all three important components of WUI evacuation, namely: fire spread, pedestrian movement, and traffic movement. The report includes a systematic review of each model component, and the key features needed for the integration into a comprehensive toolkit