15,795 research outputs found
Recommended from our members
An Overview of Models for Response Times and Processes in Cognitive Tests.
Response times (RTs) are a natural kind of data to investigate cognitive processes underlying cognitive test performance. We give an overview of modeling approaches and of findings obtained with these approaches. Four types of models are discussed: response time models (RT as the sole dependent variable), joint models (RT together with other variables as dependent variable), local dependency models (with remaining dependencies between RT and accuracy), and response time as covariate models (RT as independent variable). The evidence from these approaches is often not very informative about the specific kind of processes (other than problem solving, information accumulation, and rapid guessing), but the findings do suggest dual processing: automated processing (e.g., knowledge retrieval) vs. controlled processing (e.g., sequential reasoning steps), and alternative explanations for the same results exist. While it seems well-possible to differentiate rapid guessing from normal problem solving (which can be based on automated or controlled processing), further decompositions of response times are rarely made, although possible based on some of model approaches
Distributed Bayesian Matrix Factorization with Limited Communication
Bayesian matrix factorization (BMF) is a powerful tool for producing low-rank
representations of matrices and for predicting missing values and providing
confidence intervals. Scaling up the posterior inference for massive-scale
matrices is challenging and requires distributing both data and computation
over many workers, making communication the main computational bottleneck.
Embarrassingly parallel inference would remove the communication needed, by
using completely independent computations on different data subsets, but it
suffers from the inherent unidentifiability of BMF solutions. We introduce a
hierarchical decomposition of the joint posterior distribution, which couples
the subset inferences, allowing for embarrassingly parallel computations in a
sequence of at most three stages. Using an efficient approximate
implementation, we show improvements empirically on both real and simulated
data. Our distributed approach is able to achieve a speed-up of almost an order
of magnitude over the full posterior, with a negligible effect on predictive
accuracy. Our method outperforms state-of-the-art embarrassingly parallel MCMC
methods in accuracy, and achieves results competitive to other available
distributed and parallel implementations of BMF.Comment: 28 pages, 8 figures. The paper is published in Machine Learning
journal. An implementation of the method is is available in SMURFF software
on github (bmfpp branch): https://github.com/ExaScience/smurf
Hierarchical Models for Relational Event Sequences
Interaction within small groups can often be represented as a sequence of
events, where each event involves a sender and a recipient. Recent methods for
modeling network data in continuous time model the rate at which individuals
interact conditioned on the previous history of events as well as actor
covariates. We present a hierarchical extension for modeling multiple such
sequences, facilitating inferences about event-level dynamics and their
variation across sequences. The hierarchical approach allows one to share
information across sequences in a principled manner---we illustrate the
efficacy of such sharing through a set of prediction experiments. After
discussing methods for adequacy checking and model selection for this class of
models, the method is illustrated with an analysis of high school classroom
dynamics
A Multi-scale View of the Emergent Complexity of Life: A Free-energy Proposal
We review some of the main implications of the free-energy principle (FEP) for the study of the self-organization of living systems – and how the FEP can help us to understand (and model) biotic self-organization across the many temporal and spatial scales over which life exists. In order to maintain its integrity as a bounded system, any biological system - from single cells to complex organisms and societies - has to limit the disorder or dispersion (i.e., the long-run entropy) of its constituent states. We review how this can be achieved by living systems that minimize their variational free energy. Variational free energy is an information theoretic construct, originally introduced into theoretical neuroscience and biology to explain perception, action, and learning. It has since been extended to explain the evolution, development, form, and function of entire organisms, providing a principled model of biotic self-organization and autopoiesis. It has provided insights into biological systems across spatiotemporal scales, ranging from microscales (e.g., sub- and multicellular dynamics), to intermediate scales (e.g., groups of interacting animals and culture), through to macroscale phenomena (the evolution of entire species). A crucial corollary of the FEP is that an organism just is (i.e., embodies or entails) an implicit model of its environment. As such, organisms come to embody causal relationships of their ecological niche, which, in turn, is influenced by their resulting behaviors. Crucially, free-energy minimization can be shown to be equivalent to the maximization of Bayesian model evidence. This allows us to cast natural selection in terms of Bayesian model selection, providing a robust theoretical account of how organisms come to match or accommodate the spatiotemporal complexity of their surrounding niche. In line with the theme of this volume; namely, biological complexity and self-organization, this chapter will examine a variational approach to self-organization across multiple dynamical scales
CML: the commonKADS conceptual modelling language
We present a structured language for the specification of knowledge models according to the CommonKADS methodology. This language is called CML (Conceptual Modelling Language) and provides both a structured textual notation and a diagrammatic notation for expertise models. The use of our CML is illustrated by a variety of examples taken from the VT elevator design system
- …