13,988 research outputs found

    Mathematical model for the impact of awareness on the dynamics of infectious diseases

    Get PDF
    This paper analyses an SIRS-type model for infectious diseases with account for behavioural changes associated with the simultaneous spread of awareness in the population. Two types of awareness are included into the model: private awareness associated with direct contacts between unaware and aware populations, and public information campaign. Stability analysis of different steady states in the model provides information about potential spread of disease in a population, and well as about how the disease dynamics is affected by the two types of awareness. Numerical simulations are performed to illustrate the behaviour of the system in different dynamical regimes

    Health Problems Heat Up: Climate Change and the Public's Health

    Get PDF
    Examines the health effects of climate change, the needed public health response, concerns for communities at high risk, and state planning and funding for climate change assessments and strategies. Makes federal, state, and local policy recommendations

    Alcoholism: A Mathematical Model with Media Awareness Campaigns

    Get PDF
    In this paper, we study how media awareness campaigns influence the spread and persistence of drinking behavior in a community. Here, we present a compartmental population model with an additional differential equation to describe the dynamics of media awareness campaigns in combating problem drinking ([10], [12], [21]). Our model indicates a basic reproductive number, R0, where there exists an asymptotically stable drinking-free equilibrium if R0 \u3c 1, and a unique endemic state, which appears to be stable when R0 \u3e 1. We found that the following two components affect the basic reproductive number: the strength of peer influence of problem drinkers on susceptibles and the average overall time spent in the problem drinking environment. Furthermore, we conclude that the existence of media awareness programs and effective treatment options does not eliminate a drinking culture in the community, it only temporarily alleviate the issue. To support our findings, we present analytical and numerical approaches

    Alcoholism: A Mathematical Model with Media Awareness Campaigns

    Get PDF
    In this paper, we study how media awareness campaigns influence the spread and persistence of drinking behavior in a community. Here, we present a compartmental population model with an additional differential equation to describe the dynamics of media awareness campaigns in combating problem drinking ([10], [12], [21]). Our model indicates a basic reproductive number, R0, where there exists an asymptotically stable drinking-free equilibrium if R0 \u3c 1, and a unique endemic state, which appears to be stable when R0 \u3e 1. We found that the following two components affect the basic reproductive number: the strength of peer influence of problem drinkers on susceptibles and the average overall time spent in the problem drinking environment. Furthermore, we conclude that the existence of media awareness programs and effective treatment options does not eliminate a drinking culture in the community, it only temporarily alleviate the issue. To support our findings, we present analytical and numerical approaches

    Role of word-of-mouth for programs of voluntary vaccination: A game-theoretic approach

    Get PDF
    We propose a model describing the synergetic feedback between word-of-mouth (WoM) and epidemic dynamics controlled by voluntary vaccination. We combine a game-theoretic model for the spread of WoM and a compartmental model describing SIRSIR disease dynamics in the presence of a program of voluntary vaccination. We evaluate and compare two scenarios, depending on what WoM disseminates: (1) vaccine advertising, which may occur whether or not an epidemic is ongoing and (2) epidemic status, notably disease prevalence. Understanding the synergy between the two strategies could be particularly important for organizing voluntary vaccination campaigns. We find that, in the initial phase of an epidemic, vaccination uptake is determined more by vaccine advertising than the epidemic status. As the epidemic progresses, epidemic status become increasingly important for vaccination uptake, considerably accelerating vaccination uptake toward a stable vaccination coverage.Comment: 10 pages, 2 figure

    Time-delayed SIS epidemic model with population awareness

    Get PDF
    This paper analyses the dynamics of infectious disease with a concurrent spread of disease awareness. The model includes local awareness due to contacts with aware individuals, as well as global awareness due to reported cases of infection and awareness campaigns. We investigate the effects of time delay in response of unaware individuals to available information on the epidemic dynamics by establishing conditions for the Hopf bifurcation of the endemic steady state of the model. Analytical results are supported by numerical bifurcation analysis and simulations

    Role of media and treatment on an SIR model

    Get PDF
    n this paper, the impact of awareness programs as well as treatment on an SIR model has been investigated. We assume that the whole population is divided into four compartments, named as susceptible (S), infected (I), aware susceptible (Sa) and recovered (R). Analytical findings and numerical simulations of the model show that if the exposure to the awareness program is high and adequate treatment is available, then the infection can be eliminated. Analysis of the model also depicts that if treatment is not available, then infection is high even if enough awareness is present. But in absence of awareness an infection can not be eliminated inspite of adequate treatment. Effective treatment can led to a diminished level of infection. Stability analysis of the model is investigated by using stability theory of differential equations. Further, numerical simulations are carried out to validate the analytical results
    • …
    corecore