5,548 research outputs found
An overview of offshore wind energy resources in Europe under present and future climate
Long-term sustainable development of European offshore wind energy requires knowledge of the best places for installing offshore wind farms. To achieve this, a good knowledge of wind resources is needed, as well as knowledge of international, European, and national regulations regarding conflict management, marine environment conservation, biodiversity protection, licensing processes, and support regimes. Such a multidisciplinary approach could help to identify areas where wind resources are abundant and where conflicts with other interests are scarce, support measures are greater, and licensing processes are streamlined. An overview of offshore wind power studies at present, and of their future projections for the 21st century, allows for determining the optimal European locations to install or maintain offshore wind farms. Only northern Europe, the northwest portion of the Iberian Peninsula, the Gulf of Lyon, the Strait of Gibraltar, and the northwest coast of Turkey show no change or increase in wind power, revealing these locations as the most suitable for installing and maintaining offshore wind farms in the future. The installation of wind farms is subject to restrictions established under international law, European law, and the domestic legal framework of each EU member state. Europe is moving toward streamlining of licensing procedures, reducing subsidies, and implementing auction systems.Xunta de Galicia | Ref. ED431C 2017/64Xunta de Galicia | Ref. ED481A-2016/36Fundação para a CiĂȘncia e a Tecnologia | Ref. SFRH/BPD/118142/20
The telecoupled sustainability impacts of global agricultural value chains:Assessing the cross-scale sustainability impacts of the cocoa sector
Agriculture is a major contributor to the global environmental crisis. Natural ecosystems are being replaced by agricultural land, which leads to the extinction of species and the release of tons of carbon emissions. Global agricultural value chains (GVCs) have grown due to the intensification of international trade. While GVCs have undeniably created economic opportunities for the agriculture sector, they have also led to the escalation of local environmental issues. Several initiatives have been implemented to reduce the negative impacts of agriculture, including government regulations, sustainability certification labels, and voluntary sustainability commitments. However, the effectiveness of these initiatives has been questioned due to several reasons, including the mismatches between the scale of the problem and the solution, the lack of monitoring and verification of sustainability actions, and their weak enforcement. Sustainability initiatives are informed by studies assessing the impacts of agriculture that often only focus on local impacts, while disregarding larger-scale â telecoupledâ dynamics that can trigger impacts across geographic and temporal scales. This thesis aims to help bridge these knowledge gaps by examining the impacts of agricultural GVCs across scales, studying the role of GVCâs configuration in modulating these impacts and investigating the role of GVC actors in mitigating sustainability risks across scales. The global cocoa value chain is used as a case study. Chapter 2 examines various impact assessment methods and their ability to capture the effects caused by telecoupled dynamics across different scales. The study concludes that no single method is sufficient to capture all telecoupled cross-scale dynamics and that the integration of different methods is necessary to bridge gaps between methods and complement their scope. Chapter 3 implements the recommendations outlined in Chapter 2 by analyzing the impacts caused by cocoa agroforestry and cocoa full-sun production in Ghana. Impacts on carbon, biodiversity stocks, and environmental pollution were analyzed within and beyond the farm-level. This chapter reveals that findings drawn from farm-level assessments can contradict those from landscape-level assessments. Decision-makers focused should be wary of extrapolating farm-level assessment results to larger scales. Chapter 4 expands the scope to the global scale by examining the role of the cocoa GVC configuration on the capacity of the sector to address sustainability challenges across scales. The chapter identifies different types of cocoa traders, their market dominance, and sustainability commitments. The chapter highlights that to address the telecoupled impacts of the cocoa GVC, coordinated action between traders is required, along with government interventions to balance power asymmetries. Chapter 5 measured the degree to which cocoa traders, as identified in Chapter 4, are exposed to deforestation and climate change. This chapter highlights that sustainability challenges in agricultural value chains cannot be resolved in isolation as farming systems are constantly interacting with other farming systems and land competing sectors. To avoid displacing negative impacts across scales, it is necessary to have a coordinated and collaborative effort from stakeholders and sectors involved in making decisions related to land use. This thesis shows that addressing the telecoupled impacts caused by agricultural value chains needs a good understanding of the cause-effect dynamics at play. This requires the quantification of impacts caused by agriculture across scales and the characterization of the GVC network of actors modulating these impacts. Interdisciplinary methods need to be leveraged and integrated to generate actionable insights. The findings of this thesis can assist decision-makers and private actors in devising customized sustainability strategies, prioritizing action, and addressing the most vulnerable hotspots while being mindful of global teleconnections and avoiding spillovers
Language Design for Reactive Systems: On Modal Models, Time, and Object Orientation in Lingua Franca and SCCharts
Reactive systems play a crucial role in the embedded domain. They continuously interact with their environment, handle concurrent operations, and are commonly expected to provide deterministic behavior to enable application in safety-critical systems. In this context, language design is a key aspect, since carefully tailored language constructs can aid in addressing the challenges faced in this domain, as illustrated by the various concurrency models that prevent the known pitfalls of regular threads. Today, many languages exist in this domain and often provide unique characteristics that make them specifically fit for certain use cases. This thesis evolves around two distinctive languages: the actor-oriented polyglot coordination language Lingua Franca and the synchronous statecharts dialect SCCharts. While they take different approaches in providing reactive modeling capabilities, they share clear similarities in their semantics and complement each other in design principles. This thesis analyzes and compares key design aspects in the context of these two languages. For three particularly relevant concepts, it provides and evaluates lean and seamless language extensions that are carefully aligned with the fundamental principles of the underlying language. Specifically, Lingua Franca is extended toward coordinating modal behavior, while SCCharts receives a timed automaton notation with an efficient execution model using dynamic ticks and an extension toward the object-oriented modeling paradigm
Meta-learning algorithms and applications
Meta-learning in the broader context concerns how an agent learns about their own learning, allowing them to improve their learning process. Learning how to learn is not only beneficial for humans, but it has also shown vast benefits for improving how machines learn. In the context of machine learning, meta-learning enables models to improve their learning process by selecting suitable meta-parameters that influence the learning. For deep learning specifically, the meta-parameters typically describe details of the training of the model but can also include description of the model itself - the architecture. Meta-learning is usually done with specific goals in mind, for example trying to improve ability to generalize or learn new concepts from only a few examples.
Meta-learning can be powerful, but it comes with a key downside: it is often computationally costly. If the costs would be alleviated, meta-learning could be more accessible to developers of new artificial intelligence models, allowing them to achieve greater goals or save resources. As a result, one key focus of our research is on significantly improving the efficiency of meta-learning. We develop two approaches: EvoGrad and PASHA, both of which significantly improve meta-learning efficiency in two common scenarios. EvoGrad allows us to efficiently optimize the value of a large number of differentiable meta-parameters, while PASHA enables us to efficiently optimize any type of meta-parameters but fewer in number.
Meta-learning is a tool that can be applied to solve various problems. Most commonly it is applied for learning new concepts from only a small number of examples (few-shot learning), but other applications exist too. To showcase the practical impact that meta-learning can make in the context of neural networks, we use meta-learning as a novel solution for two selected problems: more accurate uncertainty quantification (calibration) and general-purpose few-shot learning. Both are practically important problems and using meta-learning approaches we can obtain better solutions than the ones obtained using existing approaches. Calibration is important for safety-critical applications of neural networks, while general-purpose few-shot learning tests model's ability to generalize few-shot learning abilities across diverse tasks such as recognition, segmentation and keypoint estimation.
More efficient algorithms as well as novel applications enable the field of meta-learning to make more significant impact on the broader area of deep learning and potentially solve problems that were too challenging before. Ultimately both of them allow us to better utilize the opportunities that artificial intelligence presents
Robust interventions in network epidemiology
Which individual should we vaccinate to minimize the spread of a disease? Designing optimal interventions of this kind can be formalized as an optimization problem on networks, in which we have to select a budgeted number of dynamically important nodes to receive treatment that optimizes a dynamical outcome. Describing this optimization problem requires specifying the network, a model of the dynamics, and an objective for the outcome of the dynamics. In real-world contexts, these inputs are vulnerable to misspecification---the network and dynamics must be inferred from data, and the decision-maker must operationalize some (potentially abstract) goal into a mathematical objective function. Moreover, the tools to make reliable inferences---on the dynamical parameters, in particular---remain limited due to computational problems and issues of identifiability. Given these challenges, models thus remain more useful for building intuition than for designing actual interventions. This thesis seeks to elevate complex dynamical models from intuition-building tools to methods for the practical design of interventions.
First, we circumvent the inference problem by searching for robust decisions that are insensitive to model misspecification.If these robust solutions work well across a broad range of structural and dynamic contexts, the issues associated with accurately specifying the problem inputs are largely moot. We explore the existence of these solutions across three facets of dynamic importance common in network epidemiology.
Second, we introduce a method for analytically calculating the expected outcome of a spreading process under various interventions. Our method is based on message passing, a technique from statistical physics that has received attention in a variety of contexts, from epidemiology to statistical inference.We combine several facets of the message-passing literature for network epidemiology.Our method allows us to test general probabilistic, temporal intervention strategies (such as seeding or vaccination). Furthermore, the method works on arbitrary networks without requiring the network to be locally tree-like .This method has the potential to improve our ability to discriminate between possible intervention outcomes.
Overall, our work builds intuition about the decision landscape of designing interventions in spreading dynamics. This work also suggests a way forward for probing the decision-making landscape of other intervention contexts. More broadly, we provide a framework for exploring the boundaries of designing robust interventions with complex systems modeling tools
LIPIcs, Volume 251, ITCS 2023, Complete Volume
LIPIcs, Volume 251, ITCS 2023, Complete Volum
Techno-economic-environmental evaluation of aircraft propulsion electrification: Surrogate-based multi-mission optimal design approach
Driven by the sustainability initiatives in the aviation sector, the emerging technologies of aircraft propulsion electrification have been identified as the promising approach to realize sustainable and decarbonized aviation. This study proposes a surrogate-based multi-mission optimal design approach for aircraft propulsion electrification, which innovatively incorporates realistic aviation operations into the electric aircraft design, with the aim of improving the overall aircraft fuel economy over multiple flight missions and conditions in practical scenarios. The proposed optimal design approach starts with the flight route data analysis to cluster the flight operational data using gaussian mixture model, so that a concise representation of flight mission profiles can be achieved. Then, an optimal orthogonal array-based Latin hypercubes are employed to generate sampling points of design variables for electrified aircraft propulsion. The mission analysis is performed with coupled propulsion-airframe integration in order to propose energy management strategy for mission-dependent aircraft performance. Consequently, fuel economy surrogate model is established via support vector machines to obtain the optimal design points of electrified aircraft propulsion. For assessing the viability of novel propulsion technologies, techno-economic evaluation is conducted using sensitivity analysis and breakeven electricity prices under a series of environmental regulatory policy scenarios
From Human Behavior to Machine Behavior
A core pursuit of artificial intelligence is the comprehension of human behavior. Imbuing intelligent agents with a good human behavior model can help them understand how to behave intelligently and interactively in complex situations. Due to the increase in data availability and computational resources, the development of machine learning algorithms for duplicating human cognitive abilities has made rapid progress. To solve difficult scenarios, learning-based methods must search for solutions in a predefined but large space. Along with implementing a smart exploration strategy, the right representation for a task can help narrow the search process during learning. This dissertation tackles three important aspects of machine intelligence: 1) prediction, 2) exploration, and 3) representation. More specifically we develop new algorithms for 1) predicting the future maneuvers or outcomes in pilot training and computer architecture applications; 2) exploration strategies for reinforcement learning in game environments and 3) scene representations for autonomous driving agents capable of handling large numbers of dynamic entities. This dissertation makes the following research contributions in the area of representation learning. First, we introduce a new time series representation for flight trajectories in intelligent pilot training simulations. Second, we demonstrate a method, Temporally Aware Embedding (TAE) for learning an embedding that leverages temporal information extracted from data retrieval series. Third, the dissertation introduces GRAD (Graph Representation for Autonomous Driving) that incorporates the future location of neighboring vehicles into the decision-making process. We demonstrate the usage of our models for pilot training, cache usage prediction, and autonomous driving; however, believe that our new time series representations can be applied to many other types of modeling problems
- âŠ