Efficient state estimation via inference on a probabilistic graphical model

This thesis presents a unique and efficient solver to the state estimation (SE) problem for the power grid, based on probabilistic graphical models (PGMs). SE is a method of estimating the varying state values of voltage magnitude and phase at every bus within a power grid based on meter measurements. However, existing SE solvers are notorious for their computational inefficiency to calculate the matrix inverse, and hence slow convergence to produce the final state estimates. The proposed PGM-based solver estimates the state values from a different perspective. Instead of calculating the matrix inverse directly, it models the power grid as a PGM, and then assigns potentials to nodes and edges of the PGM, based on the physical constraints of the power grid. This way, the original SE problem is transformed into an equivalent probabilistic inference problem on the PGM, for which two efficient algorithms are proposed based on Gaussian belief propagation (GBP). The equivalence between the proposed PGM-based solver and existing SE solvers is shown in terms of state estimates, and it is experimentally demonstrated that this new method converges much faster than existing solvers

Protection of data privacy based on artificial intelligence in Cyber-Physical Systems

With the rapid evolution of cyber attack techniques, the security and privacy of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs) have become key challenges. CPS environments have several properties that make them unique in efforts to appropriately secure them when compared with the processes, techniques and processes that have evolved for traditional IT networks and platforms. CPS ecosystems are comprised of heterogeneous systems, each with long lifespans. They use multitudes of operating systems and communication protocols and are often designed without security as a consideration. From a privacy perspective, there are also additional challenges. It is hard to capture and filter the heterogeneous data sources of CPSs, especially power systems, as their data should include network traffic and the sensing data of sensors. Protecting such data during the stages of collection, analysis and publication still open the possibility of new cyber threats disrupting the operational loops of power systems. Moreover, while protecting the original data of CPSs, identifying cyberattacks requires intrusion detection that produces high false alarm rates. This thesis significantly contributes to the protection of heterogeneous data sources, along with the high performance of discovering cyber-attacks in CPSs, especially smart power networks (i.e., power systems and their networks). For achieving high data privacy, innovative privacy-preserving techniques based on Artificial Intelligence (AI) are proposed to protect the original and sensitive data generated by CPSs and their networks. For cyber-attack discovery, meanwhile applying privacy-preserving techniques, new anomaly detection algorithms are developed to ensure high performances in terms of data utility and accuracy detection. The first main contribution of this dissertation is the development of a privacy preservation intrusion detection methodology that uses the correlation coefficient, independent component analysis, and Expectation Maximisation (EM) clustering algorithms to select significant data portions and discover cyber attacks against power networks. Before and after applying this technique, machine learning algorithms are used to assess their capabilities to classify normal and suspicious vectors. The second core contribution of this work is the design of a new privacy-preserving anomaly detection technique protecting the confidential information of CPSs and discovering malicious observations. Firstly, a data pre-processing technique filters and transforms data into a new format that accomplishes the aim of preserving privacy. Secondly, an anomaly detection technique using a Gaussian mixture model which fits selected features, and a Kalman filter technique that accurately computes the posterior probabilities of legitimate and anomalous events are employed. The third significant contribution of this thesis is developing a novel privacy-preserving framework for achieving the privacy and security criteria of smart power networks. In the first module, a two-level privacy module is developed, including an enhanced proof of work technique-based blockchain for accomplishing data integrity and a variational autoencoder approach for changing the data to an encoded data format to prevent inference attacks. In the second module, a long short-term memory deep learning algorithm is employed in anomaly detection to train and validate the outputs from the two-level privacy modules