Lessons Learned and Next Steps in Energy Efficiency Measurement and Attribution: Energy Savings, Net to Gross, Non-Energy Benefits, and Persistence of Energy Efficiency Behavior

This white paper examines four topics addressing evaluation, measurement, and attribution of direct and indirect effects to energy efficiency and behavioral programs: Estimates of program savings (gross); Net savings derivation through free ridership / net to gross analyses; Indirect non-energy benefits / impacts (e.g., comfort, convenience, emissions, jobs); and, Persistence of savings

Simulation modeling for energy consumption of residential consumers in response to demand side management.

Energy efficiency in the electricity distribution system continues to gain importance as demand for electricity keeps rising and resources keep diminishing. Achieving higher energy efficiency by implementing control strategies and demand response (DR) programs has always been a topic of interest in the electric utility industry. The advent of smart grids with enhanced data communication capabilities propels DR to be an essential part of the next generation power distribution system. Fundamentally, DR has the ability to charge a customer the true price of electricity at the time of use, and the general perception is that consumers would shift their load to a cheaper off-peak period. Consequently, when designing incentives most DR literature assumes consumers always minimize total electricity cost when facing energy consumption decisions. However, in practice, it has been shown that customers often override financial incentives if they feel strongly about the inconvenience of load-shifting arrangements. In this dissertation, an energy consumption model based on consumers‟ response to both cost and convenience/comfort is proposed in studying the effects of differential pricing mechanisms. We use multi-attribute utility functions and a model predictive control mechanism to simulate consumer behavior of using non-thermostatic loads vi (prototypical home appliances) and thermostatically controlled load (HVAC). The distributed behavior patterns caused by risk nature, thermal preferences, household size, etc. are all incorporated using an object-oriented simulation model to represent a typical residential population. The simulation based optimization platform thus developed is used to study various types of pricing mechanisms including static and dynamic variable pricing. There are many electric utilities that have applied differential pricing structures to influence consumer behavior. However, majority of current DR practices include static variable pricings, since consumer response to dynamic prices is very difficult to predict. We also study a novel pricing method using demand charge on coincident load. Such a pricing model is based on consumers‟ individual contribution to the monthly system peak, which is highly stochastic. We propose to use the conditional Markov chain to calculate the probability that the system will reach a peak, and subsequently simulate consumers‟ behavior in response to that peak. Sensitivity analysis and comparisons of various rate structures are done using simulation. Overall, this dissertation provides a simulation model to study electricity consumers‟ response to DR programs and various rate structures, and thus can be used to guide the design of optimal pricing mechanism in demand side management

Creative User-Centered Visualization Design for Energy Analysts and Modelers

We enhance a user-centered design process with techniques that deliberately promote creativity to identify opportunities for the visualization of data generated by a major energy supplier. Visualization prototypes developed in this way prove effective in a situation whereby data sets are largely unknown and requirements open – enabling successful exploration of possibilities for visualization in Smart Home data analysis. The process gives rise to novel designs and design metaphors including data sculpting. It suggests: that the deliberate use of creativity techniques with data stakeholders is likely to contribute to successful, novel and effective solutions; that being explicit about creativity may contribute to designers developing creative solutions; that using creativity techniques early in the design process may result in a creative approach persisting throughout the process. The work constitutes the first systematic visualization design for a data rich source that will be increasingly important to energy suppliers and consumers as Smart Meter technology is widely deployed. It is novel in explicitly employing creativity techniques at the requirements stage of visualization design and development, paving the way for further use and study of creativity methods in visualization design

A new optimized demand management system for smart grid-based residential buildings adopting renewable and storage energies

Demand Side Management (DSM) implies intelligently managing load appliances in a Smart Grid (SG). DSM programs help customers save money by reducing their electricity bills, minimizing the utility’s peak demand, and improving load factor. To achieve these goals, this paper proposes a new load shifting-based optimal DSM model for scheduling residential users’ appliances. The proposed system effectively handles the challenges raised in the literature regarding the absence of using recent, easy, and more robust optimization techniques, a comparison procedure with well-established ones, using Renewable Energy Resources (RERs), Renewable Energy Storage (RES), and adopting consumer comfort. This system uses recent algorithms called Virulence Optimization Algorithm (VOA) and Earth Worm Optimization Algorithm (EWOA) for optimally shifting the time slots of shiftable appliances. The system adopts RERs, RES, as well as utility grid energy for supplying load appliances. This system takes into account user preferences, timing factors for each appliance, and a pricing signal for relocating shiftable appliances to flatten the energy demand profile. In order to figure out how much electricity users will have to pay, a Time Of Use (TOU) dynamic pricing scheme has been used. Using MATLAB simulation environment, we have made effectiveness-based comparisons of the adopted optimization algorithms with the well-established meta-heuristics and evolutionary algorithms (Genetic Algorithm (GA), Cuckoo Search Optimization (CSO), and Binary Particle Swarm Optimization (BPSO) in order to determine the most efficient one. Without adopting RES, the results indicate that VOA outperforms the other algorithms. The VOA enables 59% minimization in Peak-to-Average Ratio (PAR) of consumption energy and is more robust than other competitors. By incorporating RES, the EWOA, alongside the VOA, provides less deviation and a lower PAR. The VOA saves 76.19% of PAR, and the EWOA saves 73.8%, followed by the BPSO, GA, and CSO, respectively. The electricity consumption using VOA and EWOA-based DSM cost 217 and 210 USD cents, respectively, whereas non-scheduled consumption costs 273 USD cents and scheduling based on BPSO, GA, and CSO costs 219, 220, and 222 USD cents.publishedVersio