EXPLORING SPATIAL CONTAGION IN SPAIN’S INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION DISTRIBUTION

This paper explores the Spain’s international migration distribution (SIMD) for the 1998-2009 period. Beyond a general depiction of the distribution, the study pays special attention to the role played by space and, particularly, to the possibility of geographical contagion effects. For this latter, and using a spatial Markov chain approach, two new measures of positive and negative contagion are proposed. The results do identify space as key determinant of the SIMD. Furthermore, results reveal that there are contagion effects, positive contagion among provinces surrounded by high-immigration provinces being the most significant.

Recensión de la obra de Iván Antonio Rodríguez Cardo: Derechos Laborales y de Seguridad Social ante las tensiones territoriales: Brexit y Cataluña, UCM, Madrid, 2019 [Reseña]

Recension of the book:Labor and social security rights in the face of territorial tensions: brexit and catalonia, by Iván Antonio Rodríguez Cardo, UCM, Madrid, 2019.Recensión de la obra:  Derechos laborales y de seguridad social ante las tensiones territoriales: brexit y cataluña, de Iván Antonio Rodríguez Cardo, UCM, Madrid, 2019

The effect of foreign-born residents on migratory patterns of natives in Spain

This paper examines the effect of internal migration of foreign-born residents on migratory patterns of natives in Spain during 2003-2005. The results obtained through a synthetic index of inter-regional mobility and the comparison of relative redundancies for their migration flows show that the foreign-born population's influence is negligible.

Fracking, wars and stock market crashes. The price of oil during the great recession.

This study analyses how oil prices have been affected by three types of events that took place during the Great Recession: the development of fracking, wars in Libya, Syria and Ukraine and the stock market crash of 2008. To do this, we employ co-integration analysis, using a vector error correction model (VECM) for a period spanning August 2007 to August 2016. The principal results obtained are: firstly, that including a variable to represent the increase in production associated to fracking in the US improves the model’s long term estimation, as it embraces a new variable co-integrated in the long term; secondly, that the wars in Libya and Ukraine only influenced prices indirectly, insofar as the former sparked a reduction in OPEC production and the latter an increase in OECD oil reserves, both short term; and thirdly, that the stock market crash of 2008 led to a short- term reduction in oil prices

Regional international migration distribution in Spain: which factors are behind?

International migration issues are at the forefront of the political debate in the European Union (EU). Some reasons justify the increasing relevance of this topic, being the unprecedented scale of international migration flows, especially in countries such as Spain, the most prominent. In fact, adequate responses to the necessity for controlling effectively large flows of irregular immigration, and also safeguarding the internal security, are insistently demanded and always placed in the center of the political debate. Thus, recent studies portraying immigration experiences in the EU have been prolific in the literature on international migration. Some of these were applied to Spain as a representative country of changes in international migration patterns. However, and although some contributions to the analysis of international migration in Spain have been made, an examination of the international migration distribution (IMD) is still a pending question that needs further analysis. Accordingly, the aim of this paper is to analyse some relevant aspects on IMD in Spain at regional level. After a descriptive analysis showing the importance that international migration plays in today’s Spanish demography and economy, the paper examines the IMD’s external shape and its intra-distribution mobility. Subsequently, an analysis of the factors that might be behind the IMD and its dynamics is carried out. The results will give information about the role played by factors such as geographical location, per capita income, industry mix, employment density and social networks in explaining this issue. Keywords: international migration; Spanish regions; distribution dynamics; highest density regions

EXPLORING SPATIAL CONTAGION IN SPAIN'S INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION DISTRIBUTION

This paper explores the Spain's international migration distribution (SIMD) for the 1998-2009 period. Beyond a general depiction of the distribution, the study pays special attention to the role played by space and, particularly, to the possibility of geographical contagion effects. For this latter, and using a spatial Markov chain approach, two new measures of positive and negative contagion are proposed. The results do identify space as key determinant of the SIMD. Furthermore, results reveal that there are contagion effects, positive contagion among provinces surrounded by high-immigration provinces being the most significant