Clinical validity assessment of a breast cancer risk model combining genetic and clinical information

_Background:_ The extent to which common genetic variation can assist in breast cancer (BCa) risk assessment is unclear. We assessed the addition of risk information from a panel of BCa-associated single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) on risk stratification offered by the Gail Model.

_Methods:_ We selected 7 validated SNPs from the literature and genotyped them among white women in a nested case-control study within the Women’s Health Initiative Clinical Trial. To model SNP risk, previously published odds ratios were combined multiplicatively. To produce a combined clinical/genetic risk, Gail Model risk estimates were multiplied by combined SNP odds ratios. We assessed classification performance using reclassification tables and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. 

_Results:_ The SNP risk score was well calibrated and nearly independent of Gail risk, and the combined predictor was more predictive than either Gail risk or SNP risk alone. In ROC curve analysis, the combined score had an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.594 compared to 0.557 for Gail risk alone. For reclassification with 5-year risk thresholds at 1.5% and 2%, the net reclassification index (NRI) was 0.085 (Z = 4.3, P = 1.0×10^-5^). Focusing on women with Gail 5-year risk of 1.5-2% results in an NRI of 0.195 (Z = 3.8, P = 8.6×10^−5^).

_Conclusions:_ Combining clinical risk factors and validated common genetic risk factors results in improvement in classification of BCa risks in white, postmenopausal women. This may have implications for informing primary prevention and/or screening strategies. Future research should assess the clinical utility of such strategies.
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Socially Compliant Navigation through Raw Depth Inputs with Generative Adversarial Imitation Learning

We present an approach for mobile robots to learn to navigate in dynamic environments with pedestrians via raw depth inputs, in a socially compliant manner. To achieve this, we adopt a generative adversarial imitation learning (GAIL) strategy, which improves upon a pre-trained behavior cloning policy. Our approach overcomes the disadvantages of previous methods, as they heavily depend on the full knowledge of the location and velocity information of nearby pedestrians, which not only requires specific sensors, but also the extraction of such state information from raw sensory input could consume much computation time. In this paper, our proposed GAIL-based model performs directly on raw depth inputs and plans in real-time. Experiments show that our GAIL-based approach greatly improves the safety and efficiency of the behavior of mobile robots from pure behavior cloning. The real-world deployment also shows that our method is capable of guiding autonomous vehicles to navigate in a socially compliant manner directly through raw depth inputs. In addition, we release a simulation plugin for modeling pedestrian behaviors based on the social force model.Comment: ICRA 2018 camera-ready version. 7 pages, video link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0hw0GD3lkA

Normal and Amnesic Learning, Recognition, and Memory by a Neural Model of Cortico-Hippocampal Interactions

The processes by which humans and other primates learn to recognize objects have been the subject of many models. Processes such as learning, categorization, attention, memory search, expectation, and novelty detection work together at different stages to realize object recognition. In this article, Gail Carpenter and Stephen Grossberg describe one such model class (Adaptive Resonance Theory, ART) and discuss how its structure and function might relate to known neurological learning and memory processes, such as how inferotemporal cortex can recognize both specialized and abstract information, and how medial temporal amnesia may be caused by lesions in the hippocampal formation. The model also suggests how hippocampal and inferotemporal processing may be linked during recognition learning.Air Force Office of Scientific Research (90-0175); British Petroleum (89A-1204); Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (90-0083); National Science Foundation (IRI-90-00530); Office of Naval Research (N00014-91-J-4100

Condensation of MgS in outflows from carbon stars

The basic mechanism responsible for the widespread condensation of MgS in the outflows from carbon rich stars on the tip of the AGB is discussed with the aim of developing a condensation model that can be applied in model calculations of dust formation in stellar winds. The different possibilities how MgS may be formed in the chemical environment of outflows from carbon stars are explored by some thermochemical calculations and by a detailed analysis of the growth kinetics of grains in stellar winds. The optical properties of core-mantle grains with a MgS mantle are calculated to demonstrate that such grains reproduce the structure of the observed 30 $\mu$m feature. These considerations are complemented by model calculations of circumstellar dust shells around carbon stars. It is argued that MgS is formed via precipitation on silicon carbide grains. This formation mechanism explains some of the basic observed features of MgS condensation in dust shells around carbon stars. A weak secondary peak at about 33 ... 36 $\mu$m is shown to exist in certain cases if MgS forms a coating on SiC.Comment: 9 pages, 7 figure