Long-term Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction using Mutable Intention Filter and Warp LSTM

Trajectory prediction is one of the key capabilities for robots to safely navigate and interact with pedestrians. Critical insights from human intention and behavioral patterns need to be integrated to effectively forecast long-term pedestrian behavior. Thus, we propose a framework incorporating a Mutable Intention Filter and a Warp LSTM (MIF-WLSTM) to simultaneously estimate human intention and perform trajectory prediction. The Mutable Intention Filter is inspired by particle filtering and genetic algorithms, where particles represent intention hypotheses that can be mutated throughout the pedestrian motion. Instead of predicting sequential displacement over time, our Warp LSTM learns to generate offsets on a full trajectory predicted by a nominal intention-aware linear model, which considers the intention hypotheses during filtering process. Through experiments on a publicly available dataset, we show that our method outperforms baseline approaches and demonstrate the robust performance of our method under abnormal intention-changing scenarios. Code is available at https://github.com/tedhuang96/mifwlstm.Comment: Accepted by RA-L Special Issue on Long-Term Human Motion Predictio

Online monitoring for safe pedestrian-vehicle interactions

As autonomous systems begin to operate amongst humans, methods for safe interaction must be investigated. We consider an example of a small autonomous vehicle in a pedestrian zone that must safely maneuver around people in a free-form fashion. We investigate two key questions: How can we effectively integrate pedestrian intent estimation into our autonomous stack. Can we develop an online monitoring framework to give formal guarantees on the safety of such human-robot interactions. We present a pedestrian intent estimation framework that can accurately predict future pedestrian trajectories given multiple possible goal locations. We integrate this into a reachability-based online monitoring scheme that formally assesses the safety of these interactions with nearly real-time performance (approximately 0.3 seconds). These techniques are integrated on a test vehicle with a complete in-house autonomous stack, demonstrating effective and safe interaction in real-world experiments.Comment: 15 pages, 5 figures