Asset Management in Volatile Markets

The 27th SUERF Colloquium in Munich in June 2008: New Trends in Asset Management: Exploring the Implications was already topical in the Summer of 2008. The subsequent dramatic events in the Autumn of 2008 made the presentations in Munich even more relevant to investors and bankers that want to understand what happens in their investment universe. In the present SUERF Study, we have collected a sample of outstanding colloquium contributions under the fitting headline: Asset Management in Volatile Markets.derivatives, financial innovation, asset management, finance-growth-nexus; Relative Value Strategy, Pair Trading, Slippage, Implementation Shortfall, Asset Management, Fin4Cast

Prospects for Monetary Cooperation in East Asia

The purpose of this paper is to reexamine the exchange rate policy of the Republic of Korea, and its role in promoting financial and monetary cooperation in East Asia in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis. The Republic of Korea would not actively participate in any discussion of establishing a regional monetary and exchange rate arrangement as it is expected to maintain a weakly managed floating regime. The People’s Republic of China (PRC) has been fostering the yuan as an international currency, which will lay the groundwork for forming a yuan area among the PRC; the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN); Hong Kong, the PRC; and Taipei,China. Japan has shown less interest in assuming a greater role in East Asia’s economic integration due to deflation, a strong yen, slow growth, and political instability. Japan would not eschew free floating. These recent developments demand a new modality of monetary cooperation among the Republic of Korea, Japan, and the PRC. Otherwise, ASEAN+3 will lose its rationale for steering regional economic integration in East Asia.exchange rate policy; republic of korea; financial monetary cooperation; east asia; global financial crisis; regional economic integration

"Hedge Fund Replication"

This chapter provides a comprehensive explanation of hedge fund replication. This chapter first reviews the characteristics of hedge fund returns. Then, the emergence of hedge fund replication products is discussed. Hedge fund replication methods are classified into three categories: Rule-based, Factor-based, and Distribution replicating approaches. These approaches attempt to capture different aspects of hedge fund returns. This chapter explains the three methods.

Hedge Fund Replication ?Revised in November 2008, forthcoming in The Recent Trend of Hedge Fund Strategies)

This chapter provides a comprehensive explanation of hedge fund replication. This chapter first reviews the characteristics of hedge fund returns. Then, the emergence of hedge fund replication products is discussed. Hedge fund replication methods are classified into three categories: Rule-based, Factor-based, and Distribution replicating approaches. These approaches attempt to capture dierent aspects of hedge fund returns. This chapter explains the three methods.

Chapter 2: The Financial Crisis

The financial turmoil that originated in 2007 and developed into an unprecedented crisis battering financial and real markets is the latest manifestation, on a grand scale and with new attributes, of a welldefined pathology in the process of market liberalization and integration in the post-Bretton Woods era. At the root of the crisis lies a fundamental inconsistency between financial globalisation – the process of liberalization and deregulation driving the impressive growth of world financial markets – and existing public rules and policies at both domestic and international levels. This pathology underlies virtually all the episodes of instability that have affected the developing and the emerging economies since the constraints on capital mobility started to be removed during the 1970s: from the debt crisis in the early 1980s to the financial and currency crisis in South-East Asia in 1997–98. Globalisation of financial markets has systematically and vastly outpaced the development of their governance: governments have lagged behind in reshaping domestic and international institutions as well as in changing and adapting policy behaviour.

Recent Experiences with Capital Controls : Is There A Lesson for Turkey?

Capital flows in the 1990's and their sudden reversals and the resulting turmoil created in financial markets together with big financial losses, revived the interests in capital controls. There are inherent destabilizing factors in international financial system and Tobin had seen that as early as 1972 when he suggested levying a tax on financial transactions as a way of smoothing out destabilizing factors, even though in its original formulation it was not applied anywhere due to its impracticality. Various capital inflow and outflow control experiences and recent crisis indicated that controls, even though are only second best, can be resorted temporarily, provided that the time gained is productively used for making the necessary adjustments in the inconsistent policy mix that brought about the controls in the first place. In such a context, for countries with high domestic debt like Turkey, where, even the intervention itself can be a source of speculation, an exchange rate band, in which the limits of the band is defended through taxing the violators of the band rather than central bank intervention can be an alternative. Such a strategy would be beneficial if Turkey uses the time to address the structural issues, rather than relaxes under the protective cushion of the tax. This method is advantageous to the sterilized intervention presently used to decrease exchange rate volatility arising from speculative inflows, first because, it will keep the central bank reserves intact, second it will force the violators of the exchange rate band to share the responsibility of their violation. If temporary controls are very carefully coordinated with the appropriate supporting policies, they could replace IMF programs with financial assistance, at least till the new and improved international financial system becomes operational.Capital Controls, Short Term Speculative Inflows, Tobin Tax, Private Sector Involvement

The determinants of credit default swap spreads in emerging market economies

Emerging markets have become a destination for international portfolio flows as a result of global financial integration. This has allowed exogenous factors like sentiment and developed country monetary policy to affect developing countries capital markets and macroeconomic fundamentals. This study analyses the impact of investor sentiment alongside US monetary policy, country specific risks, inflation and domestic stock returns on the BRICS credit default spreads. To investigate this relationship, the study uses panel data and a fixed effects model. The results of the panel regressions suggest that all variables had an impact on the variation of BRICS credit default spreads however the crisis may have distorted the relationship among the variables. Sovereign ratings had an inverse relationship depicting a rise in ratings decreasing the credit default premium. This was in line with a priori expectations. Domestic company earnings also had an inverse relationship with BRCIS credit default premia, the magnitude of which is dependent on the value of the index. This is to say the higher the index, the more significant the effect on the BRICS default premium. US monetary policy was significant and in line with expectations of a linear relationship between emerging market credit default spreads when controlling for the crisis. In the crisis period however, results depicted an inverse relationship going against a priori expectations. The inflation variable was found to have a greater impact on CDS spreads during the crisis period, while the VIX index had a linear relationship with the default premia albeit the impact was not highly significant. The study concludes that the financial crisis was an important event that affected the relationship of these variables with BRICS country default spreads and had read through to market participant’s behaviour at the time