Decentralized Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Sensor Networks Composed of Nonlinearly Coupled Dynamical Systems

In this paper we propose a decentralized sensor network scheme capable to reach a globally optimum maximum likelihood (ML) estimate through self-synchronization of nonlinearly coupled dynamical systems. Each node of the network is composed of a sensor and a first-order dynamical system initialized with the local measurements. Nearby nodes interact with each other exchanging their state value and the final estimate is associated to the state derivative of each dynamical system. We derive the conditions on the coupling mechanism guaranteeing that, if the network observes one common phenomenon, each node converges to the globally optimal ML estimate. We prove that the synchronized state is globally asymptotically stable if the coupling strength exceeds a given threshold. Acting on a single parameter, the coupling strength, we show how, in the case of nonlinear coupling, the network behavior can switch from a global consensus system to a spatial clustering system. Finally, we show the effect of the network topology on the scalability properties of the network and we validate our theoretical findings with simulation results.Comment: Journal paper accepted on IEEE Transactions on Signal Processin

Asymptotically Optimal Sampling Policy for Quickest Change Detection with Observation-Switching Cost

We consider the problem of quickest change detection (QCD) in a signal where its observations are obtained using a set of actions, and switching from one action to another comes with a cost. The objective is to design a stopping rule consisting of a sampling policy to determine the sequence of actions used to observe the signal and a stopping time to quickly detect for the change, subject to a constraint on the average observation-switching cost. We propose an open-loop sampling policy of finite window size and a generalized likelihood ratio (GLR) Cumulative Sum (CuSum) stopping time for the QCD problem. We show that the GLR CuSum stopping time is asymptotically optimal with a properly designed sampling policy and formulate the design of this sampling policy as a quadratic programming problem. We prove that it is sufficient to consider policies of window size not more than one when designing policies of finite window size and propose several algorithms that solve this optimization problem with theoretical guarantees. For observation-dependent policies, we propose a $2$-threshold stopping time and an observation-dependent sampling policy. We present a method to design the observation-dependent sampling policy based on open-loop sampling policies. Finally, we apply our approach to the problem of QCD of a partially observed graph signal and empirically demonstrate the performance of our proposed stopping times

Quickest Change Detection in the Presence of a Nuisance Change

In the quickest change detection problem in which both nuisance and critical changes may occur, the objective is to detect the critical change as quickly as possible without raising an alarm when either there is no change or a nuisance change has occurred. A window-limited sequential change detection procedure based on the generalized likelihood ratio test statistic is proposed. A recursive update scheme for the proposed test statistic is developed and is shown to be asymptotically optimal under mild technical conditions. In the scenario where the post-change distribution belongs to a parametrized family, a generalized stopping time and a lower bound on its average run length are derived. The proposed stopping rule is compared with the FMA stopping time and the naive 2-stage procedure that detects the nuisance or critical change using separate CuSum stopping procedures for the nuisance and critical changes. Simulations demonstrate that the proposed rule outperforms the FMA stopping time and the 2-stage procedure, and experiments on a real dataset on bearing failure verify the performance of the proposed stopping time