Induction and Uncertainty Management Techniques Applied to Veterinary Medical Diagnosis

This paper discusses a project undertaken between the Departments of Computing Science, Statistics, and the College of Veterinary Medicine to design a medical diagnostic system. On-line medical data has been collected in the hospital database system for several years. A number of induction methods are being used to extract knowledge from the data in an attempt to improve upon simple diagnostic charts used by the clinicians. They also enhance the results of classical statistical methods - finding many more significant variables. The second part of the paper describes an essentially Bayesian method of evidence combination using fuzzy events at an initial step. Results are presented and comparisons are made with other methods.Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the Fourth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI1988

Experiments Using Belief Functions and Weights of Evidence incorporating Statistical Data and Expert Opinions

This paper presents some ideas and results of using uncertainty management methods in the presence of data in preference to other statistical and machine learning methods. A medical domain is used as a test-bed with data available from a large hospital database system which collects symptom and outcome information about patients. Data is often missing, of many variable types and sample sizes for particular outcomes is not large. Uncertainty management methods are useful for such domains and have the added advantage of allowing for expert modification of belief values originally obtained from data. Methodological considerations for using belief functions on statistical data are dealt with in some detail. Expert opinions are Incorporated at various levels of the project development and results are reported on an application to liver disease diagnosis. Recent results contrasting the use of weights of evidence and logistic regression on another medical domain are also presented.Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the Fifth Conference on Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence (UAI1989