Mixed Cumulative Distribution Networks

Directed acyclic graphs (DAGs) are a popular framework to express multivariate probability distributions. Acyclic directed mixed graphs (ADMGs) are generalizations of DAGs that can succinctly capture much richer sets of conditional independencies, and are especially useful in modeling the effects of latent variables implicitly. Unfortunately there are currently no good parameterizations of general ADMGs. In this paper, we apply recent work on cumulative distribution networks and copulas to propose one one general construction for ADMG models. We consider a simple parameter estimation approach, and report some encouraging experimental results.Comment: 11 pages, 4 figure

A closed-form approach to Bayesian inference in tree-structured graphical models

We consider the inference of the structure of an undirected graphical model in an exact Bayesian framework. More specifically we aim at achieving the inference with close-form posteriors, avoiding any sampling step. This task would be intractable without any restriction on the considered graphs, so we limit our exploration to mixtures of spanning trees. We consider the inference of the structure of an undirected graphical model in a Bayesian framework. To avoid convergence issues and highly demanding Monte Carlo sampling, we focus on exact inference. More specifically we aim at achieving the inference with close-form posteriors, avoiding any sampling step. To this aim, we restrict the set of considered graphs to mixtures of spanning trees. We investigate under which conditions on the priors - on both tree structures and parameters - exact Bayesian inference can be achieved. Under these conditions, we derive a fast an exact algorithm to compute the posterior probability for an edge to belong to {the tree model} using an algebraic result called the Matrix-Tree theorem. We show that the assumption we have made does not prevent our approach to perform well on synthetic and flow cytometry data

An assessment of gene regulatory network inference algorithms

A conceptual issue regarding gene regulatory network (GRN) inference algorithms is establishing their validity or correctness. In this study, we argue that for this purpose it is useful to conceive these algorithms as estimators of graph-valued parameters of explicit models for gene expression data. On this basis, we perform an assessment of a selection of influential GRN inference algorithms as estimators for two types of models: (i) causal graphs with associated structural equations models (SEMs), and (ii) differential equations models based on the thermodynamics of gene expression. Our findings corroborate that networks of marginal dependence fail in estimating GRNs, but they also suggest that the strength of statistical association as measured by mutual information may be indicative of GRN structure. Also, in simulations, we find that the GRN inference algorithms GENIE3 and TIGRESS outperform competing algorithms. However, more importantly, we also find that many observed patterns hinge on the GRN topology and the assumed data generating mechanism.Un problema conceptual con respecto a los algoritmos de inferencia de redes de regulación génica (RRG) es cómo establecer su validez. En este estudio sostenemos que para este objetivo conviene concebir estos algoritmos como estimadores de parámetros de modelos estadísticos explícitos para datos de expresión génica. Sobre esta base, realizamos una evaluación de una selección de algoritmos de inferencia de RRG como estimadores para dos tipos de modelos: (i) modelos de grafos causales asociados a modelos de ecuaciones estructurales (MEE), y (ii) modelos de ecuaciones diferenciales basados en la termodinámica de la expresion genica. Nuestros hallazgos corroboran que las redes de dependencias marginales fallan en la estimación de las RRG, pero también sugieren que la fuerza de la asociación estadística medida por la información mutua puede reflejar en cierto grado la estructura de las RRG. Además, en un estudio de simulaciones, encontramos que los algoritmos de inferencia GENIE3 y TIGRESS son los de mejor desempeño. Sin embargo, crucialmente, también encontramos que muchos patrones observados en las simulaciones dependen de la topología de la RRG y del modelo generador de datos.Maestrí