Robust Kalman tracking and smoothing with propagating and non-propagating outliers

A common situation in filtering where classical Kalman filtering does not perform particularly well is tracking in the presence of propagating outliers. This calls for robustness understood in a distributional sense, i.e.; we enlarge the distribution assumptions made in the ideal model by suitable neighborhoods. Based on optimality results for distributional-robust Kalman filtering from Ruckdeschel[01,10], we propose new robust recursive filters and smoothers designed for this purpose as well as specialized versions for non-propagating outliers. We apply these procedures in the context of a GPS problem arising in the car industry. To better understand these filters, we study their behavior at stylized outlier patterns (for which they are not designed) and compare them to other approaches for the tracking problem. Finally, in a simulation study we discuss efficiency of our procedures in comparison to competitors.Comment: 27 pages, 12 figures, 2 table

Particle-filtering approaches for nonlinear Bayesian decoding of neuronal spike trains

The number of neurons that can be simultaneously recorded doubles every seven years. This ever increasing number of recorded neurons opens up the possibility to address new questions and extract higher dimensional stimuli from the recordings. Modeling neural spike trains as point processes, this task of extracting dynamical signals from spike trains is commonly set in the context of nonlinear filtering theory. Particle filter methods relying on importance weights are generic algorithms that solve the filtering task numerically, but exhibit a serious drawback when the problem dimensionality is high: they are known to suffer from the 'curse of dimensionality' (COD), i.e. the number of particles required for a certain performance scales exponentially with the observable dimensions. Here, we first briefly review the theory on filtering with point process observations in continuous time. Based on this theory, we investigate both analytically and numerically the reason for the COD of weighted particle filtering approaches: Similarly to particle filtering with continuous-time observations, the COD with point-process observations is due to the decay of effective number of particles, an effect that is stronger when the number of observable dimensions increases. Given the success of unweighted particle filtering approaches in overcoming the COD for continuous- time observations, we introduce an unweighted particle filter for point-process observations, the spike-based Neural Particle Filter (sNPF), and show that it exhibits a similar favorable scaling as the number of dimensions grows. Further, we derive rules for the parameters of the sNPF from a maximum likelihood approach learning. We finally employ a simple decoding task to illustrate the capabilities of the sNPF and to highlight one possible future application of our inference and learning algorithm