Analyzing evolution of rare events through social media data

Recently, some researchers have attempted to find a relationship between the evolution of rare events and temporal-spatial patterns of social media activities. Their studies verify that the relationship exists in both time and spatial domains. However, few of those studies can accurately deduce a time point when social media activities are most highly affected by a rare event because producing an accurate temporal pattern of social media during the evolution of a rare event is very difficult. This work expands the current studies along three directions. Firstly, we focus on the intensity of information volume and propose an innovative clustering algorithm-based data processing method to characterize the evolution of a rare event by analyzing social media data. Secondly, novel feature extraction and fuzzy logic-based classification methods are proposed to distinguish and classify event-related and unrelated messages. Lastly, since many messages do not have ground truth, we execute four existing ground-truth inference algorithms to deduce the ground truth and compare their performances. Then, an Adaptive Majority Voting (Adaptive MV) method is proposed and compared with two of the existing algorithms based on a set containing manually-labeled social media data. Our case studies focus on Hurricane Sandy in 2012 and Hurricane Maria in 2017. Twitter data collected around them are used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed methods. Firstly, the results of the proposed data processing method not only verify that a rare event and social media activities have strong correlations, but also reveal that they have some time difference. Thus, it is conducive to investigate the temporal pattern of social media activities. Secondly, fuzzy logic-based feature extraction and classification methods are effective in identifying event-related and unrelated messages. Lastly, the Adaptive MV method deduces the ground truth well and performs better on datasets with noisy labels than other two methods, Positive Label Frequency Threshold and Majority Voting

The Evolution of Wikipedia's Norm Network

Social norms have traditionally been difficult to quantify. In any particular society, their sheer number and complex interdependencies often limit a system-level analysis. One exception is that of the network of norms that sustain the online Wikipedia community. We study the fifteen-year evolution of this network using the interconnected set of pages that establish, describe, and interpret the community's norms. Despite Wikipedia's reputation for \textit{ad hoc} governance, we find that its normative evolution is highly conservative. The earliest users create norms that both dominate the network and persist over time. These core norms govern both content and interpersonal interactions using abstract principles such as neutrality, verifiability, and assume good faith. As the network grows, norm neighborhoods decouple topologically from each other, while increasing in semantic coherence. Taken together, these results suggest that the evolution of Wikipedia's norm network is akin to bureaucratic systems that predate the information age.Comment: 22 pages, 9 figures. Matches published version. Data available at http://bit.ly/wiki_nor

Multi-Level Modeling of Quotation Families Morphogenesis

This paper investigates cultural dynamics in social media by examining the proliferation and diversification of clearly-cut pieces of content: quoted texts. In line with the pioneering work of Leskovec et al. and Simmons et al. on memes dynamics we investigate in deep the transformations that quotations published online undergo during their diffusion. We deliberately put aside the structure of the social network as well as the dynamical patterns pertaining to the diffusion process to focus on the way quotations are changed, how often they are modified and how these changes shape more or less diverse families and sub-families of quotations. Following a biological metaphor, we try to understand in which way mutations can transform quotations at different scales and how mutation rates depend on various properties of the quotations.Comment: Published in the Proceedings of the ASE/IEEE 4th Intl. Conf. on Social Computing "SocialCom 2012", Sep. 3-5, 2012, Amsterdam, N