33,133 research outputs found
Approaching Utopia: Strong Truthfulness and Externality-Resistant Mechanisms
We introduce and study strongly truthful mechanisms and their applications.
We use strongly truthful mechanisms as a tool for implementation in undominated
strategies for several problems,including the design of externality resistant
auctions and a variant of multi-dimensional scheduling
Evaluating probabilistic forecasts with scoringRules
Probabilistic forecasts in the form of probability distributions over future
events have become popular in several fields including meteorology, hydrology,
economics, and demography. In typical applications, many alternative
statistical models and data sources can be used to produce probabilistic
forecasts. Hence, evaluating and selecting among competing methods is an
important task. The scoringRules package for R provides functionality for
comparative evaluation of probabilistic models based on proper scoring rules,
covering a wide range of situations in applied work. This paper discusses
implementation and usage details, presents case studies from meteorology and
economics, and points to the relevant background literature
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