1,226 research outputs found
Stick-Breaking Policy Learning in Dec-POMDPs
Expectation maximization (EM) has recently been shown to be an efficient
algorithm for learning finite-state controllers (FSCs) in large decentralized
POMDPs (Dec-POMDPs). However, current methods use fixed-size FSCs and often
converge to maxima that are far from optimal. This paper considers a
variable-size FSC to represent the local policy of each agent. These
variable-size FSCs are constructed using a stick-breaking prior, leading to a
new framework called \emph{decentralized stick-breaking policy representation}
(Dec-SBPR). This approach learns the controller parameters with a variational
Bayesian algorithm without having to assume that the Dec-POMDP model is
available. The performance of Dec-SBPR is demonstrated on several benchmark
problems, showing that the algorithm scales to large problems while
outperforming other state-of-the-art methods
Bayesian Nonparametric Methods for Partially-Observable Reinforcement Learning
Making intelligent decisions from incomplete information is critical in many applications: for example, robots must choose actions based on imperfect sensors, and speech-based interfaces must infer a user’s needs from noisy microphone inputs. What makes these tasks hard is that often we do not have a natural representation with which to model the domain and use for choosing actions; we must learn about the domain’s properties while simultaneously performing the task. Learning a representation also involves trade-offs between modeling the data that we have seen previously and being able to make predictions about new data. This article explores learning representations of stochastic systems using Bayesian nonparametric statistics. Bayesian nonparametric methods allow the sophistication of a representation to scale gracefully with the complexity in the data. Our main contribution is a careful empirical evaluation of how representations learned using Bayesian nonparametric methods compare to other standard learning approaches, especially in support of planning and control. We show that the Bayesian aspects of the methods result in achieving state-of-the-art performance in decision making with relatively few samples, while the nonparametric aspects often result in fewer computations. These results hold across a variety of different techniques for choosing actions given a representation
Nonparametric Bayesian Policy Priors for Reinforcement Learning
We consider reinforcement learning in partially observable domains where the agent can query an expert for
demonstrations. Our nonparametric Bayesian approach combines model knowledge, inferred from expert information and independent exploration, with policy knowledge inferred from expert trajectories. We introduce priors that bias the agent towards models with both simple representations and simple policies, resulting in improved policy and model learning
A survey on Bayesian nonparametric learning
© 2019 Copyright held by the owner/author(s). Publication rights licensed to ACM. Bayesian (machine) learning has been playing a significant role in machine learning for a long time due to its particular ability to embrace uncertainty, encode prior knowledge, and endow interpretability. On the back of Bayesian learning's great success, Bayesian nonparametric learning (BNL) has emerged as a force for further advances in this field due to its greater modelling flexibility and representation power. Instead of playing with the fixed-dimensional probabilistic distributions of Bayesian learning, BNL creates a new “game” with infinite-dimensional stochastic processes. BNL has long been recognised as a research subject in statistics, and, to date, several state-of-the-art pilot studies have demonstrated that BNL has a great deal of potential to solve real-world machine-learning tasks. However, despite these promising results, BNL has not created a huge wave in the machine-learning community. Esotericism may account for this. The books and surveys on BNL written by statisticians are overcomplicated and filled with tedious theories and proofs. Each is certainly meaningful but may scare away new researchers, especially those with computer science backgrounds. Hence, the aim of this article is to provide a plain-spoken, yet comprehensive, theoretical survey of BNL in terms that researchers in the machine-learning community can understand. It is hoped this survey will serve as a starting point for understanding and exploiting the benefits of BNL in our current scholarly endeavours. To achieve this goal, we have collated the extant studies in this field and aligned them with the steps of a standard BNL procedure-from selecting the appropriate stochastic processes through manipulation to executing the model inference algorithms. At each step, past efforts have been thoroughly summarised and discussed. In addition, we have reviewed the common methods for implementing BNL in various machine-learning tasks along with its diverse applications in the real world as examples to motivate future studies
Hidden Parameter Markov Decision Processes: A Semiparametric Regression Approach for Discovering Latent Task Parametrizations
Control applications often feature tasks with similar, but not identical,
dynamics. We introduce the Hidden Parameter Markov Decision Process (HiP-MDP),
a framework that parametrizes a family of related dynamical systems with a
low-dimensional set of latent factors, and introduce a semiparametric
regression approach for learning its structure from data. In the control
setting, we show that a learned HiP-MDP rapidly identifies the dynamics of a
new task instance, allowing an agent to flexibly adapt to task variations
Better Optimism By Bayes: Adaptive Planning with Rich Models
The computational costs of inference and planning have confined Bayesian
model-based reinforcement learning to one of two dismal fates: powerful
Bayes-adaptive planning but only for simplistic models, or powerful, Bayesian
non-parametric models but using simple, myopic planning strategies such as
Thompson sampling. We ask whether it is feasible and truly beneficial to
combine rich probabilistic models with a closer approximation to fully Bayesian
planning. First, we use a collection of counterexamples to show formal problems
with the over-optimism inherent in Thompson sampling. Then we leverage
state-of-the-art techniques in efficient Bayes-adaptive planning and
non-parametric Bayesian methods to perform qualitatively better than both
existing conventional algorithms and Thompson sampling on two contextual
bandit-like problems.Comment: 11 pages, 11 figure
Cover Tree Bayesian Reinforcement Learning
This paper proposes an online tree-based Bayesian approach for reinforcement
learning. For inference, we employ a generalised context tree model. This
defines a distribution on multivariate Gaussian piecewise-linear models, which
can be updated in closed form. The tree structure itself is constructed using
the cover tree method, which remains efficient in high dimensional spaces. We
combine the model with Thompson sampling and approximate dynamic programming to
obtain effective exploration policies in unknown environments. The flexibility
and computational simplicity of the model render it suitable for many
reinforcement learning problems in continuous state spaces. We demonstrate this
in an experimental comparison with least squares policy iteration
Hilbert Space Embeddings of POMDPs
A nonparametric approach for policy learning for POMDPs is proposed. The
approach represents distributions over the states, observations, and actions as
embeddings in feature spaces, which are reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces.
Distributions over states given the observations are obtained by applying the
kernel Bayes' rule to these distribution embeddings. Policies and value
functions are defined on the feature space over states, which leads to a
feature space expression for the Bellman equation. Value iteration may then be
used to estimate the optimal value function and associated policy. Experimental
results confirm that the correct policy is learned using the feature space
representation.Comment: Appears in Proceedings of the Twenty-Eighth Conference on Uncertainty
in Artificial Intelligence (UAI2012
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