2 research outputs found
Distribution of Mutual Information from Complete and Incomplete Data
Mutual information is widely used, in a descriptive way, to measure the
stochastic dependence of categorical random variables. In order to address
questions such as the reliability of the descriptive value, one must consider
sample-to-population inferential approaches. This paper deals with the
posterior distribution of mutual information, as obtained in a Bayesian
framework by a second-order Dirichlet prior distribution. The exact analytical
expression for the mean, and analytical approximations for the variance,
skewness and kurtosis are derived. These approximations have a guaranteed
accuracy level of the order O(1/n^3), where n is the sample size. Leading order
approximations for the mean and the variance are derived in the case of
incomplete samples. The derived analytical expressions allow the distribution
of mutual information to be approximated reliably and quickly. In fact, the
derived expressions can be computed with the same order of complexity needed
for descriptive mutual information. This makes the distribution of mutual
information become a concrete alternative to descriptive mutual information in
many applications which would benefit from moving to the inductive side. Some
of these prospective applications are discussed, and one of them, namely
feature selection, is shown to perform significantly better when inductive
mutual information is used.Comment: 26 pages, LaTeX, 5 figures, 4 table
Bayesian Treatment of Incomplete Discrete Data applied to Mutual Information and Feature Selection
Given the joint chances of a pair of random variables one can compute quantities of interest, like the mutual information. The Bayesian treatment of unknown chances involves computing, from a second order prior distribution and the data likelihood, a posterior distribution of the chances. A common treatment of incomplete data is to assume ignorability and determine the chances by the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. The two different methods above are well established but typically separated. This paper joins the two approaches in the case of Dirichlet priors, and derives efficient approximations for the mean, mode and the (co)variance of the chances and the mutual information. Furthermore, we prove the unimodality of the posterior distribution, whence the important property of convergence of EM to the global maximum in the chosen framework. These results are applied to the problem of selecting features for incremental learning and naive Bayes classification. A fast filter based on the distribution of mutual information is shown to outperform the traditional filter based on empirical mutual information on a number of incomplete real data sets