Abstract Interpretation for Probabilistic Termination of Biological Systems

In a previous paper the authors applied the Abstract Interpretation approach for approximating the probabilistic semantics of biological systems, modeled specifically using the Chemical Ground Form calculus. The methodology is based on the idea of representing a set of experiments, which differ only for the initial concentrations, by abstracting the multiplicity of reagents present in a solution, using intervals. In this paper, we refine the approach in order to address probabilistic termination properties. More in details, we introduce a refinement of the abstract LTS semantics and we abstract the probabilistic semantics using a variant of Interval Markov Chains. The abstract probabilistic model safely approximates a set of concrete experiments and reports conservative lower and upper bounds for probabilistic termination

Symbolic Magnifying Lens Abstraction in Markov Decision Processes

In this paper, we combine abstraction-refinement and symbolic techniques to fight the state-space explosion problem when model checking Markov decision processes (MDPs). The abstract-refinement technique, called "magnifying-lens abstraction" (MLA), partitions the state-space into regions and computes upper and lower bounds for reachability and safety properties on the regions, rather than the states. To compute such bounds, MLA iterates over the regions, analyzing the concrete states of each region in turn - as if one was sliding a magnifying lens across the system to view the states. The algorithm adaptively refines the regions, using smaller regions where more detail is required, until the difference between the bounds is below a specified accuracy. The symbolic technique is based on multi-terminal binary decision diagrams (MTBDDs) which have been used extensively to provide compact encodings of probabilistic models. We introduce a symbolic version of the MLA algorithm, called "symbolic MLA", which combines the power of both practical techniques when verifying MDPs. An implementation of symbolic MLA in the probabilistic model checker PRISM and experimental results to illustrate the advantages of our approach are presented

Bounded Expectations: Resource Analysis for Probabilistic Programs

This paper presents a new static analysis for deriving upper bounds on the expected resource consumption of probabilistic programs. The analysis is fully automatic and derives symbolic bounds that are multivariate polynomials of the inputs. The new technique combines manual state-of-the-art reasoning techniques for probabilistic programs with an effective method for automatic resource-bound analysis of deterministic programs. It can be seen as both, an extension of automatic amortized resource analysis (AARA) to probabilistic programs and an automation of manual reasoning for probabilistic programs that is based on weakest preconditions. As a result, bound inference can be reduced to off-the-shelf LP solving in many cases and automatically-derived bounds can be interactively extended with standard program logics if the automation fails. Building on existing work, the soundness of the analysis is proved with respect to an operational semantics that is based on Markov decision processes. The effectiveness of the technique is demonstrated with a prototype implementation that is used to automatically analyze 39 challenging probabilistic programs and randomized algorithms. Experimental results indicate that the derived constant factors in the bounds are very precise and even optimal for many programs

Aiming Low Is Harder -- Induction for Lower Bounds in Probabilistic Program Verification

We present a new inductive rule for verifying lower bounds on expected values of random variables after execution of probabilistic loops as well as on their expected runtimes. Our rule is simple in the sense that loop body semantics need to be applied only finitely often in order to verify that the candidates are indeed lower bounds. In particular, it is not necessary to find the limit of a sequence as in many previous rules

Quantitative Static Analysis of Communication Protocols using Abstract Markov Chains

International audienceIn this paper we present a static analysis of probabilistic programs to quantify their performance properties by taking into account both the stochastic aspects of the language and those related to the execution environment. More particularly, we are interested in the analysis of communication protocols in lossy networks and we aim at inferring statically parametric bounds of some important metrics such as the expectation of the throughput or the energy consumption. Our analysis is formalized within the theory of abstract interpretation and soundly takes all possible executions into account. We model the concrete executions as a set of Markov chains and we introduce a novel notion of abstract Markov chains that provides a finite and symbolic representation to over-approximate the (possi-bly unbounded) set of concrete behaviors. We show that our proposed formalism is expressive enough to handle both probabilistic and pure non-deterministic choices within the same semantics. Our analysis operates in two steps. The first step is a classic abstract interpretation of the source code, using stock numerical abstract domains and a specific automata domain, in order to extract the abstract Markov chain of the program. The second step extracts from this chain particular invari-ants about the stationary distribution and computes its symbolic bounds using a parametric Fourier-Motzkin elimination algorithm. We present a prototype implementation of the analysis and we discuss some preliminary experiments on a number of communication protocols. We compare our prototype to the state-of-the-art probabilistic model checker Prism and we highlight the advantages and shortcomings of both approaches