3,550 research outputs found
Scalable Deep Traffic Flow Neural Networks for Urban Traffic Congestion Prediction
Tracking congestion throughout the network road is a critical component of
Intelligent transportation network management systems. Understanding how the
traffic flows and short-term prediction of congestion occurrence due to
rush-hour or incidents can be beneficial to such systems to effectively manage
and direct the traffic to the most appropriate detours. Many of the current
traffic flow prediction systems are designed by utilizing a central processing
component where the prediction is carried out through aggregation of the
information gathered from all measuring stations. However, centralized systems
are not scalable and fail provide real-time feedback to the system whereas in a
decentralized scheme, each node is responsible to predict its own short-term
congestion based on the local current measurements in neighboring nodes.
We propose a decentralized deep learning-based method where each node
accurately predicts its own congestion state in real-time based on the
congestion state of the neighboring stations. Moreover, historical data from
the deployment site is not required, which makes the proposed method more
suitable for newly installed stations. In order to achieve higher performance,
we introduce a regularized Euclidean loss function that favors high congestion
samples over low congestion samples to avoid the impact of the unbalanced
training dataset. A novel dataset for this purpose is designed based on the
traffic data obtained from traffic control stations in northern California.
Extensive experiments conducted on the designed benchmark reflect a successful
congestion prediction
An integrated method for short-term prediction of road traffic conditions for intelligent transportation systems applications
The paper deals with the short-term prediction of road traffic conditions within Intelligent Transportation Systems applications. First, the problem of traffic modeling and the potential of different traffic monitoring technologies are discussed. Then, an integrated method for short-term traffic prediction is presented, which integrates an Artificial Neural Network predictor that forecasts future states in standard conditions, an anomaly detection module that exploits floating car data to individuate possible occurrences of anomalous traffic conditions, and a macroscopic traffic model that predicts speeds and queue progressions in case of anomalies. Results of offline applications on a primary Italian motorway are presented
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