A scenario approach for non-convex control design

Randomized optimization is an established tool for control design with modulated robustness. While for uncertain convex programs there exist randomized approaches with efficient sampling, this is not the case for non-convex problems. Approaches based on statistical learning theory are applicable to non-convex problems, but they usually are conservative in terms of performance and require high sample complexity to achieve the desired probabilistic guarantees. In this paper, we derive a novel scenario approach for a wide class of random non-convex programs, with a sample complexity similar to that of uncertain convex programs and with probabilistic guarantees that hold not only for the optimal solution of the scenario program, but for all feasible solutions inside a set of a-priori chosen complexity. We also address measure-theoretic issues for uncertain convex and non-convex programs. Among the family of non-convex control- design problems that can be addressed via randomization, we apply our scenario approach to randomized Model Predictive Control for chance-constrained nonlinear control-affine systems.Comment: Submitted to IEEE Transactions on Automatic Contro

Robust Model Predictive Control via Scenario Optimization

This paper discusses a novel probabilistic approach for the design of robust model predictive control (MPC) laws for discrete-time linear systems affected by parametric uncertainty and additive disturbances. The proposed technique is based on the iterated solution, at each step, of a finite-horizon optimal control problem (FHOCP) that takes into account a suitable number of randomly extracted scenarios of uncertainty and disturbances, followed by a specific command selection rule implemented in a receding horizon fashion. The scenario FHOCP is always convex, also when the uncertain parameters and disturbance belong to non-convex sets, and irrespective of how the model uncertainty influences the system's matrices. Moreover, the computational complexity of the proposed approach does not depend on the uncertainty/disturbance dimensions, and scales quadratically with the control horizon. The main result in this paper is related to the analysis of the closed loop system under receding-horizon implementation of the scenario FHOCP, and essentially states that the devised control law guarantees constraint satisfaction at each step with some a-priori assigned probability p, while the system's state reaches the target set either asymptotically, or in finite time with probability at least p. The proposed method may be a valid alternative when other existing techniques, either deterministic or stochastic, are not directly usable due to excessive conservatism or to numerical intractability caused by lack of convexity of the robust or chance-constrained optimization problem.Comment: This manuscript is a preprint of a paper accepted for publication in the IEEE Transactions on Automatic Control, with DOI: 10.1109/TAC.2012.2203054, and is subject to IEEE copyright. The copy of record will be available at http://ieeexplore.ieee.or

Stochastic Control of Launch Vehicle Upper Stage with Minimum-Variance Splash-Down

This paper presents a novel synthesis method for designing an optimal and robust guidance law for a non-throttleable upper stage of a launch vehicle, using a convex approach. In the unperturbed scenario, a combination of lossless and successive convexification techniques is employed to formulate the guidance problem as a sequence of convex problems that yields the optimal trajectory, to be used as a reference for the design of a feedback controller, with little computational effort. Then, based on the reference state and control, a stochastic optimal control problem is defined to find a closed-loop control law that rejects random in-flight disturbance. The control is parameterized as a multiplicative feedback law; thus, only the control direction is regulated, while the magnitude corresponds to the nominal one, enabling its use for solid rocket motors. The objective of the optimization is to minimize the splash-down dispersion to ensure that the spent stage falls as close as possible to the nominal point. Thanks to an original convexification strategy, the stochastic optimal control problem can be solved in polynomial time since it reduces to a semidefinite programming problem. Numerical results assess the robustness of the stochastic controller and compare its performance with a model predictive control algorithm via extensive Monte Carlo campaigns

Sequential Randomized Algorithms for Convex Optimization in the Presence of Uncertainty

In this paper, we propose new sequential randomized algorithms for convex optimization problems in the presence of uncertainty. A rigorous analysis of the theoretical properties of the solutions obtained by these algorithms, for full constraint satisfaction and partial constraint satisfaction, respectively, is given. The proposed methods allow to enlarge the applicability of the existing randomized methods to real-world applications involving a large number of design variables. Since the proposed approach does not provide a priori bounds on the sample complexity, extensive numerical simulations, dealing with an application to hard-disk drive servo design, are provided. These simulations testify the goodness of the proposed solution.Comment: 18 pages, Submitted for publication to IEEE Transactions on Automatic Contro

A Posteriori Probabilistic Bounds of Convex Scenario Programs with Validation Tests

Scenario programs have established themselves as efficient tools towards decision-making under uncertainty. To assess the quality of scenario-based solutions a posteriori, validation tests based on Bernoulli trials have been widely adopted in practice. However, to reach a theoretically reliable judgement of risk, one typically needs to collect massive validation samples. In this work, we propose new a posteriori bounds for convex scenario programs with validation tests, which are dependent on both realizations of support constraints and performance on out-of-sample validation data. The proposed bounds enjoy wide generality in that many existing theoretical results can be incorporated as particular cases. To facilitate practical use, a systematic approach for parameterizing a posteriori probability bounds is also developed, which is shown to possess a variety of desirable properties allowing for easy implementations and clear interpretations. By synthesizing comprehensive information about support constraints and validation tests, improved risk evaluation can be achieved for randomized solutions in comparison with existing a posteriori bounds. Case studies on controller design of aircraft lateral motion are presented to validate the effectiveness of the proposed a posteriori bounds

On the Sample Size of Random Convex Programs with Structured Dependence on the Uncertainty (Extended Version)

The "scenario approach" provides an intuitive method to address chance constrained problems arising in control design for uncertain systems. It addresses these problems by replacing the chance constraint with a finite number of sampled constraints (scenarios). The sample size critically depends on Helly's dimension, a quantity always upper bounded by the number of decision variables. However, this standard bound can lead to computationally expensive programs whose solutions are conservative in terms of cost and violation probability. We derive improved bounds of Helly's dimension for problems where the chance constraint has certain structural properties. The improved bounds lower the number of scenarios required for these problems, leading both to improved objective value and reduced computational complexity. Our results are generally applicable to Randomized Model Predictive Control of chance constrained linear systems with additive uncertainty and affine disturbance feedback. The efficacy of the proposed bound is demonstrated on an inventory management example.Comment: Accepted for publication at Automatic