4 research outputs found
Stable Convergence in Statistical Inference and Numerical Approximation of Stochastic Processes
Stable convergence is a type of convergence of random variables, which is stronger than
weak convergence but weaker than convergence in probability. It has been used in asymptotic
theory of statistics and probability since Renyi originated his work (cf. [91]) in 1963.
In this thesis, we study applications of stable convergence in two aspects. First, we show
how to estimate the asymptotic (conditional) covariance matrix, which appears in many
central limit theorems for stable laws in high-frequency estimation. We employ the idea
of subsampling to provide a positive semi-definite estimator for this matrix. We show that
our estimator is consistent in both noiseless models and models with additive microstructure
noise. This estimate together with stable convergence theorems allow us to make
some statistical inferences such as constructing confidence intervals or doing hypothesis
testing. Moreover, we provide a decomposition of the leading error terms, from which
we are able to get some insights about how to configure the subsampler by optimally
choosing its tuning parameters (e.g., the number of subsamples). This leads to a rate of
convergence for the subsampler.
Second, we apply stable convergence theorems to show a weak limit theorem for
a numerical approximation of Brownian semi-stationary processes studied in [32]. In
the original work of [32], the authors propose to use Fourier transformation to embed a
given one dimensional Levy semi-stationary process into a two-parameter stochastic field.
For the latter, they use a simple iteration procedure and study the strong approximation
error (in L^2 sense) of the resulting numerical scheme given that the volatility process is
fully observed. In this work, we give a more precise assessment of the numerical error
associated with the Fourier method. We complement their study by analyzing the weak
limit of the error process in the framework of Brownian semi-stationary processes, where
the drift and the volatility processes need to be numerically simulated