A Generally Applicable, Highly Scalable Measurement Computation and Optimization Approach to Sequential Model-Based Diagnosis

Model-Based Diagnosis deals with the identification of the real cause of a system's malfunction based on a formal system model and observations of the system behavior. When a malfunction is detected, there is usually not enough information available to pinpoint the real cause and one needs to discriminate between multiple fault hypotheses (called diagnoses). To this end, Sequential Diagnosis approaches ask an oracle for additional system measurements. This work presents strategies for (optimal) measurement selection in model-based sequential diagnosis. In particular, assuming a set of leading diagnoses being given, we show how queries (sets of measurements) can be computed and optimized along two dimensions: expected number of queries and cost per query. By means of a suitable decoupling of two optimizations and a clever search space reduction the computations are done without any inference engine calls. For the full search space, we give a method requiring only a polynomial number of inferences and show how query properties can be guaranteed which existing methods do not provide. Evaluation results using real-world problems indicate that the new method computes (virtually) optimal queries instantly independently of the size and complexity of the considered diagnosis problems and outperforms equally general methods not exploiting the proposed theory by orders of magnitude

Evaluating Active Learning Heuristics for Sequential Diagnosis

Given a malfunctioning system, sequential diagnosis aims at identifying the root cause of the failure in terms of abnormally behaving system components. As initial system observations usually do not suffice to deterministically pin down just one explanation of the system's misbehavior, additional system measurements can help to differentiate between possible explanations. The goal is to restrict the space of explanations until there is only one (highly probable) explanation left. To achieve this with a minimal-cost set of measurements, various (active learning) heuristics for selecting the best next measurement have been proposed. We report preliminary results of extensive ongoing experiments with a set of selection heuristics on real-world diagnosis cases. In particular, we try to answer questions such as "Is some heuristic always superior to all others?", "On which factors does the (relative) performance of the particular heuristics depend?" or "Under which circumstances should I use which heuristic?

DynamicHS: Streamlining Reiter's Hitting-Set Tree for Sequential Diagnosis

Given a system that does not work as expected, Sequential Diagnosis (SD) aims at suggesting a series of system measurements to isolate the true explanation for the system's misbehavior from a potentially exponential set of possible explanations. To reason about the best next measurement, SD methods usually require a sample of possible fault explanations at each step of the iterative diagnostic process. The computation of this sample can be accomplished by various diagnostic search algorithms. Among those, Reiter's HS-Tree is one of the most popular due its desirable properties and general applicability. Usually, HS-Tree is used in a stateless fashion throughout the SD process to (re)compute a sample of possible fault explanations in each iteration, each time given the latest (updated) system knowledge including all so-far collected measurements. At this, the built search tree is discarded between two iterations, although often large parts of the tree have to be rebuilt in the next iteration, involving redundant operations and calls to costly reasoning services. As a remedy to this, we propose DynamicHS, a variant of HS-Tree that maintains state throughout the diagnostic session and additionally embraces special strategies to minimize the number of expensive reasoner invocations. In this vein, DynamicHS provides an answer to a longstanding question posed by Raymond Reiter in his seminal paper from 1987. Extensive evaluations on real-world diagnosis problems prove the reasonability of the DynamicHS and testify its clear superiority to HS-Tree wrt. computation time. More specifically, DynamicHS outperformed HS-Tree in 96% of the executed sequential diagnosis sessions and, per run, the latter required up to 800% the time of the former. Remarkably, DynamicHS achieves these performance improvements while preserving all desirable properties as well as the general applicability of HS-Tree