2 research outputs found
Routine pattern discovery and anomaly detection in individual travel behavior
Discovering patterns and detecting anomalies in individual travel behavior is
a crucial problem in both research and practice. In this paper, we address this
problem by building a probabilistic framework to model individual
spatiotemporal travel behavior data (e.g., trip records and trajectory data).
We develop a two-dimensional latent Dirichlet allocation (LDA) model to
characterize the generative mechanism of spatiotemporal trip records of each
traveler. This model introduces two separate factor matrices for the spatial
dimension and the temporal dimension, respectively, and use a two-dimensional
core structure at the individual level to effectively model the joint
interactions and complex dependencies. This model can efficiently summarize
travel behavior patterns on both spatial and temporal dimensions from very
sparse trip sequences in an unsupervised way. In this way, complex travel
behavior can be modeled as a mixture of representative and interpretable
spatiotemporal patterns. By applying the trained model on future/unseen
spatiotemporal records of a traveler, we can detect her behavior anomalies by
scoring those observations using perplexity. We demonstrate the effectiveness
of the proposed modeling framework on a real-world license plate recognition
(LPR) data set. The results confirm the advantage of statistical learning
methods in modeling sparse individual travel behavior data. This type of
pattern discovery and anomaly detection applications can provide useful
insights for traffic monitoring, law enforcement, and individual travel
behavior profiling