PhD ThesisClimate change will have a major impact on society in the 21st century and beyond, unless
the right measures are taken in the next decade. These measures require a drastic decrease in
carbon dioxide emissions to reduce the concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere most likely
through sequestration into geologic formations. Organic matter has a key role in two major
types of carbon sequestration play; as a key component of a shale seal in many conventional
reservoirs, and comprising the majority of coal reservoirs. As such recent research has focused
on the mechanical properties of this organic component, with the Atomic Force Microscope and
Nanoindentation used to measure Young’s modulus at the nanoscale. This research is expand
upon by investigating the trends in organic matter Young’s modulus within marine shales, and
compare an immature marine shale (Tarfaya) to a lacustrine equivalent (Green River) using the
AFM. The results of this study indicate that there is a clear trend of marine shales exhibiting a
bimodal distribution in modulus, with a soft phase centered around 5-9GPa and a stiffer phase
centered around 18-24GPa. 13C NMR spectroscopy indicates that the increase in stiffness is tied
to an increase in aromatic carbon, which could indicate increases in modulus across all organic
matter with maturity.
Here AFM is used on a suite of coal macerals from different depositional environments and
maturities to assess if there are common trends. The results of this highlight that the modulus
distribution of coal macerals is generally unimodal, and softer than that in shales, with all modal
values <10GPa. There is however, a similar trend in terms of a stiffening with maturity, with all
macerals stiffer in the mature Northumberland Coal than in the immature cannel or paper coals.
Thermal modelling suggests that differential strain is more likely in immature coals, where there
is a greater difference moduli of liptinite and inertinite macerals. This problem is reduced in the
mature coal, with little difference between the maceral moduli, suggesting that deeper mature
coal seams are better targets for CCUS than shallower less mature seams.
Machine learning can be used to maximise already collected data by making inferences on
samples where information is limited, using the trends from a larger dataset. Here the first
attempt at using machine learning on SEM, EDX and AFM data is documented, using data
collected from the Eagle Ford and Green River shales, with the goal of making mineralogic and
geomechanical predictions. A variety of supervised and unsupervised machine learning methods
were used, including; Multi-Layer Perceptron, KNN and Random Forest. The accuracies of
these models on the test/training data is generally above 85%, and in the case of the KNN and
Random Forest above 95%. However, when the model are used on an unrelated dataset, the
accuracy decreases significantly. This research indicates that if machine learning is to be used,
the training dataset and model should be selected with the end result in mind, whilst acquiring
the datasets using a similar technique to a similar quality.NERC Centre for Doctoral Training Oil and Gas scheme and
Newcastle University
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