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Estimation of mis-specified long memory models

By Willa Chen and Rohit Deo

Abstract

We study the asymptotic behaviour of frequency domain maximum likelihood estimators of mis-specified models of long memory Gaussian series. We show that even if the long memory structure of the time series is correctly specified, mis-specification of the short memory dynamics may result in estimators of both long- and short-memory parameters that are slower than ãn consistent for the pseudo-true parameter values, which in general differ from the true values. The conditions under which this happens are provided and the asymptotic distribution of the estimators is shown to be non-Gaussian. Conditions under which estimators of the parameters of the mis-specified model have the standard ãn consistency for the pseudo-true values and are asymptotically normal are also provided.long memory, model mis-specification

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