Revisiting the Minimum Wage-Employment Debate Using Univariate Regressions

Abstract

This paper finds an insignificant negative correlation between youth employment and minimum wages for the panel of U.S. states, 1976-2015. Such a correlation is not observed in earlier panels. The source of the new results is traced to the greatest decline in employment-population ratio since the 1970s emerging during the financial crisis of 2008. Moreover, I discuss the likely causes of the recent sharp decline in employment-population ratio and propose that more factors should be taken into account when examining the effect of the minimum wage policy