Skip to main content
Article thumbnail
Location of Repository

Robust Determinants of Income Growth in the Philippines

By Arsenio M. Balisacan, Dennis S. Mapa and Kristine Joy S. Briones


This paper studies the relationship between population dynamics and income growth in the Philippines using data from 74 provinces for the period 1985-2003. Simulation techniques were used to quantify the effect of population dynamics on the differences in income of the provinces. It also examines the robustness of the explanatory variables to determine "deep" determinants of income growth. The study shows that population variable is robustly related with growth and while it is not the sole culprit for the dismal growth performance over the years, it shows that the opportunities associated with the demographic transition are real and can provide the stimulus needed by the country.economic growth, population, population growth, demographic transition

OAI identifier: oai:RePEc:phd:pjdevt:pjd_2006_vol._xxxiii_nos._1and2-b

Suggested articles


  1. (1992). A contribution to the empirics of economic growth.
  2. (1992). A sensitivity analysis of cross country growth regressions.
  3. (2001). A spatial econometric analysis of geographic spillovers and growth for European regions, 1980-1995. Working Paper No.
  4. (1995). Advanced macroeconomics.
  5. (2005). An analysis of regional economic growth in the U.S. midwest. Working Paper. Center for Agricultural an Rural Development,
  6. (2001). Cumulative causality, economic growth, and the demographic transition. In Population matters, demographic change, economic growth and poverty in the developing world, edited by
  7. (1999). Demographic change and economic growth in Asia.
  8. (1997). Demographic transitions and economic miracles in emerging Asia. Working Paper 6268.
  9. (2003). Determinants of long term growth: a Bayesian average of classical estimates (BACE) approach.
  10. (2001). Economic growth and the demographic transition. Working Paper 8685.
  11. (1997). Economic growth in Asia. Emerging Asia: changes and challenges. Manila: Asian Development Bank.
  12. (1995). Economic growth.
  13. (2004). Economic growth. 2nd edition.
  14. (1996). Foundation of international macroeconomics.
  15. (2002). Geography, economic policy, and regional development in China. Working Paper 8897. Cambridge: National Bureau of Economic Research.
  16. (2002). Going beyond cross-country averages: revisiting growth, inequality and poverty in the Philippines.
  17. (1997). I just ran two million regressions.
  18. (2001). International data on educational attainment: updates and implications.
  19. (1983). Let’s take the con out of econometrics.
  20. (2003). Population growth, economic freedom and the rule of law.
  21. (2003). Poverty, inequality and growth in the Philippines. In Poverty, growth and institutions in developing Asia,
  22. (2004). Quantifying the impact of population on economic growth and poverty: the Philippines in an East Asian context. In Population and development in the Philippines: the ties that bind, edited by L.A. Sevilla. Makati City: AIM Policy Center.
  23. (1988). Spatial econometrics: methods and models.
  24. (2005). Sub-national growth and poverty reduction. Paper prepared for the Finalization Workshop on Policies and Institutions for Advancing Regional Development: the Philippines in Comparative East Asian Context, Asian Development Bank,
  25. (2004). Technical correction to the first printing. In Trade policy and global poverty.
  26. (2001). The colonial origins of comparative development: an empirical investigation. American Economic Review 91:1369–1401.
  27. (2003). The demographic dividend: a new perspective on the economic consequence of population change.
  28. (1981). The ultimate resource.
  29. (2002). Tropics, germs, and endowments.

To submit an update or takedown request for this paper, please submit an Update/Correction/Removal Request.