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Dengue epidemics and human mobility

By Daniel H Barmak, Claudio O Dorso, Marcelo Otero and Hernán G Solari

Abstract

In this work we explore the effects of human mobility on the dispersion of a vector borne disease. We combine an already presented stochastic model for dengue with a simple representation of the daily motion of humans on a schematic city of 20x20 blocks with 100 inhabitants in each block. The pattern of motion of the individuals is described in terms of complex networks in which links connect different blocks and the link length distribution is in accordance with recent findings on human mobility. It is shown that human mobility can turn out to be the main driving force of the disease dispersal.Comment: 24 pages, 13 figure

Topics: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Physics - Biological Physics
Year: 2011
DOI identifier: 10.1103/PhysRevE.84.011901
OAI identifier: oai:arXiv.org:1102.3869
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