Future demand for social care, 2005 to 2041: projections of demand for social care and disability benefits for younger adults in England: report to the Strategy Unit (Cabinet Office) and the Department of Health

Abstract

This paper presents projections of demand for social care and disability benefits for younger adults (aged 18 to 64) in England to 2041 and associated future expenditure. The projections were produced using a new projections model for younger adults developed by the Personal Social Services Research Unit (PSSRU) on the lines of their long-term care projections model for older people (Wittenberg et al, 2006). The model and projections were commissioned jointly by the Department of Health (DH) and the Strategy Unit (Cabinet Office) (SU)