A theoretical analysis of turbulent jet diffusion flames is developed in which the flame is regarded as an en-semble of laminar diffusion flamelets that are highly distorted. The flow inhomogeneities are considered to be sufficiently strong to produce local quenching events for flamelets as a consequence of excessive flame stretch. The condition for flamelet extinction is derived in terms of the instantaneous scalar dissipation rate, which is ascribed a log-normal distribution. Percolation theory for a random network of stoichiometric sheets is used to predict quenching thresholds that define liftoff heights. Predictions are shown to be in reasonably satisfactory agreement with experimentally measured liftoff heights of methane jet diffusion flames, within experimental uncertainties. I
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