DEKOMPOSISI PERTUMBUHAN PRODUKTIVITAS INDUSTRI MANUFAKTUR INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN STOCHASTIC FRONTIER

Productivity growth can be decomposed into its sources, namely technical changes, technical efficiency changes, and business scale changes. The role of each of these sources is important to be studied because Indonesia experienced a decline in total factor productivity (TFP) growth in 1990-2015 which indicates a productivity issue. The results of previous studies by Margono Sharma (2006) and Ikhsan (2007) regarding the decomposition of productivity growth in the manufacturing industry sector in Indonesia using a stochastic frontier approach, there are still disagreement about the contribution of technical changes and technical efficiency changes to TFP growth. This is thought to be caused by differences in the specifications of the technical efficiency models used, namely Battese Coelli (1992) and Lee Schmidt (1993). The two models have different estimation methods, Battese Coelli (1992) use maximum likelihood estimate, while Lee Schmidt (1993) use non-linear least squares. Hence the scalar parameters that determine the pattern of technical efficiency over time (η in Battese Coelli (1992) and θ in Lee Schmidt (1993)) are different.This study uses data for the period of 2003-2014 in the manufacturing industry sector. The results of this study indicate that different technical efficiency model specifications produce a different relative contribution of TFP growth sources. Therefore, choosing a technical efficiency model to decompose TFP growth should be thorough if the results will be used in important policy making

DETERMINAN PENGELUARAN KONSUMSI AKHIR RUMAH TANGGA DI JAWA TIMUR

This study aim to examine the determinants of household final consumption expenditures in East Java. The determinants were investigated using the system generalized method of moments (SYS- GMM) model and applied to data from 38 regencies/cities in East Java from 2011 to 2021. The implementation of SYS-GMM provides valid and consistent estimates. The results of the parameter significance test provide evidence that the lag of real household final consumption expenditure, real gross regional domestic product, government spending, minimum wage, and inflation rate have a significant positive impact. Meanwhile, the open unemployment rate has a significant negative impact. Based on the results of this study, policymakers must always maintain the stability of the determinants of the household's final consumption expenditure

DAMPAK KETERBUKAAN PERDAGANGAN, FDI, DAN PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI TERHADAP STABILITAS MONETER MELALUI NILAI TUKAR EFEKTIF RIIL DI INDONESIA

AbstractThere are still few studies on Indonesia's Effective Real Exchange Rate, so this study tries to examine the determination of Indonesia's Effective Real Exchange Rate (REER). The variables used in this study are Trade Opponess, Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), and Gross Domestic Product (GDP) with time series data from 1990-2019. Data obtained from The Federal Reserve (The Fred) and the World Bank. The analytical method used in this research is Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The results show that trade opennes has a negative effect on REER, while FDI both in the short and long term has a positive effect on REER, but GDP has a positive effect in the short term but does not have a significant effect in the long term on REER.  Based on these findings, the government needs to pay serious attention to REER by maintaining exchange rate stability.

PENGARUH PERUBAHAN HARGA EMAS DUNIA TERHADAP NILAI TUKAR RUPIAH

The objectives of this research are to decide the effect of: (1) modifications in world gold expenses on the rupiah exchange charge; (2) The difference among Indonesian and American hobby fees against the rupiah trade fee; (3) The difference between Indonesia and the usa's inflation towards the rupiah trade charge; (4) net exports against the rupiah alternate rate. the use of month-to-month time collection data from 2004-2019. Inductive analysis on this look at includes: (1) desk bound test; (2) more than one linear regression analysis; (three) Multicolonearity check; (four) Heteroscedasticity take a look at; (five) Normality take a look at (6) Autocorrelation check (7) Determinant coefficient (eight) T check (nine) F take a look at.The results of the study suggest that: (1) there is a great poor impact of worldwide gold costs at the rupiah alternate charge; (2) there may be a poor and insignificant impact of the distinction between Indonesian and American interest prices on the rupiah change price; (three) there may be a fine and vast effect of the inflation difference among Indonesia and america at the trade price; (4) there's a poor and great effect of net exports at the rupiah exchange price.primarily based at the research results, it's far cautioned to government policy makers to pay attention to this studies variable to be able to hold the stability of the rupiah exchange fee

ENERGI LISTRIK DAN PEMBANGUNAN MANUSIA: BUKTI EMPIRIS DARI TINGKAT PROVINSI DI INDONESIA

Abstract  This study aims to analyze the effect of the electrification ratio on HDI in Indonesia for general and specific purpose: with a specific analysis of provinces divided into various categories. The slow growth rate of HDI and the disparity of HDI in various provinces has pushed the government to work out the right solution to overcome these problems. One effort that can be done is to encourage an equal electrification ratio between provinces. The electrification ratio is known to have an important role in improving all indicators in HDI, which include economy, health and education. This study uses panel data from 33 provinces in the year 2010-2018, with the fixed effect estimation method. The other variables used in this study consist of density population, the number of poor in the population, the number of health and education facilities, and the number of teachers and health workers. The empirical results show that in general the electrification ratio has a positive effect on HDI. Meanwhile, the effect of the electrification ratio in various categories of provinces shows that the results can be positive or negative. The electrification ratio has the greatest effect on the sub-categories of provinces that have low GRDP, low HDI and low IPM low GRDP performanc

PENGARUH KREDIT BANK KEPADA SEKTOR SWASTA, KREDIT BANK KEPADA SEKTOR PEMERINTAH, SERTA KURS TERHADAP NERACA TRANSAKSI BERJALAN DI NEGARA-NEGARA ASEAN

This study aims to examine the effect of bank credit for the government sector, bank credit for the private sector, and exchange rate on current account balance in ASEAN countries. This type of research is a quantitative descriptive study with the Random Effect EGLS panel data method. The data used are secondary data, obtained from the World Bank, FRED, and CEIC from 1990-2019. The results of this study indicate that exchange rate have a positive and significant effect on current account balance in ASEAN countries. Similarly, bank credit for the government sector, have a positive and significant effect on the current account balance. In addition, private sector bank credit, have a positive impact on the current account balance

PENGARUH TRANSISI DEMOGRAFI TERHADAP KEMISKINAN

Various studies have been conducted to create policies that can reduce poverty rates, and several researchers have tried to look at the role of demography on poverty. One of them is discussing the relationship between components of demographic variables in Indonesia; cross-national regression shows that high fertility rates increase poverty by slowing economic growth. Combined fertility and mortality are associated with reduced fertility and mortality rates that simultaneously produce changes in population growth as a model of the demographic transition. Indonesia has almost completed this first demographic transition even in several provinces and districts, has passed the first demographic transition and is currently in the second demographic transition phase. Secondary data is macro, in the form of Indonesian time series data sourced from the World Bank, and is annual data, namely 1998-2019. An interesting relationship between the dependency ratio and the poverty rate is related to the term jobless growth, the more working-age, the more jobs are needed, but if there are not many jobs, unemployment will increase even though the economic growth is quite good

ANALISIS VALOTILITAS KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN MODEL GARCH

This study aims to analyze the volatility of consumption in Indonesia. The data used in this study is in the form of quarterly data starting from the first quarter of 2000 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (n=88). Data analysis model using GARCH. The results of this study indicate that consumption volatility occurs due to changes in income and inflation. Income and inflation that occur in Indonesia also affect the volatility of consumption levels in society. The implication of this research is to anticipate consumption volatility, it is hoped that the government can control and monitor the stability of the inflation rate with an inflation targeting framework or the government trying to reduce spending, change tax rates or make loans

FAKTOR SOSIAL DEMOGRAFI YANG MEMPENGARUHI PERUBAHAN PENDAPATAN (LABOR INCOME CHANGES) SAAT PANDEMI COVID-19 DI PROVINSI ACEH

Large-Scale Social Restrictions (PSBB) to minimize the spread of Covid-19 have a negative impact on labor conditions, one of which is in terms of labor income. Aceh is the province with the highest poverty rate on the Sumatra Island and is higher than the national poverty rate, so attention needs to be paid to the impact of COVID- 19 on income, one of which is income from work (labor income). This study aims to analyze how the conditions of labor income change for workers in Aceh Province during the Covid-19 pandemic and find out how socio-demographic factors affect it. This study uses the National Labor Force Survey (Sakernas) August 2021 raw data. To achieve the research objectives, this research uses descriptive and inferential analysis. Descriptive analysis was carried out using tables and figures. Meanwhile, inferential analysis uses binary logistic regression analysis. The results of the study show that workers with low-income classes have the most potential to experience a decrease in labor income during the Covid-19 pandemic. In addition, workers who have the characteristics of not using the internet for work, reduced working hours, informal workers, working in the industrial or service sector, low education, and male worker tend to have a higher tendency to experience a decrease in income during Covid-19

SINERGISME KEY SECTOR DAN NON-KEY SECTOR DAN TRANSFORMASI STRUKTUR EKONOMI TERHADAP PERTUMBUHAN EKONOMI: ANALISIS HIRARKI KOMPARATIF STATIS

This study investigates the synergism of economic sectors based on backward and forward linkages of economic sectors classified as key economic sectors and non-key economic sectors. In addition, this study also analyzes the level of inequality between key economic sectors and non- key economic sectors. Input-Output model based on comparative hierarchical analysis is used. The results of this study show that the synergetic linkages between key economic sectors and non-key economic sectors are still relatively low. Moreover, the competitiveness of Aceh Province's economic sectors nationally based on the spreading power index (backward linkages index) is still very low. In general, this study shows that there are still disparities between key economic sectors and non- key economic sectors. For this reason, it is necessary to involve local governments in formulating development policies that strengthen the concept of backward linkages and forward linkages, so as to strengthen the synergetic linkages of economic sectors in Indonesia as a whole. The synergy of these economic sectors strengthens linkages between key economic sectors and non-key economic sectors