Bayesian Analysis


After making some general remarks, I consider two examples that illustrate the use of Bayesian Probability Theory. The first is a simple one, the physicist's favorite "toy," that provides a forum for a discussion of the key conceptual issue of Bayesian analysis: the assignment of prior probabilities. The other example illustrates the use of Bayesian ideas in the real world of experimental physics.Comment: 14 pages, 5 figures, Workshop on Confidence Limits, CERN, 17-18 January, 200

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