Quantifying the unknown: issues in simulation validation and their experimental impact

Abstract

The assessment of the reliability of Monte Carlo simulations is discussed, with emphasis on uncertainty quantification and the related impact on experimental results. Methods and techniques to account for epistemic uncertainties, i.e. for intrinsic knowledge gaps in physics modeling, are discussed with the support of applications to concrete experimental scenarios. Ongoing projects regarding the investigation of epistemic uncertainties in the Geant4 simulation toolkit are reported.Comment: To be published in the Proceedings of the 13th ICATPP Conference on Astroparticle, Particle, Space Physics and Detectors for Physics Applications, Villa Olmo, Como, 3-7 October 201