Abstract

Variations in the CLL DNA methylome reflect modifications that occur during normal B cell maturation, along with IGHV mutated (M-CLL) and unmutated CLL (U-CLL), retaining an imprint of the DNA methylation signature of memory (m-CLL) and naive B cells (n-CLL), respectively, with a third intermediate epigenetic subgroup (i-CLL) (1-3). To further test the clinical utility of DNA methylation signatures, we performed the first analysis of patients entering clinical trials; we tested treatment-naive CLL patients [n=605] randomized to CLL4 (chemotherapy, CT) (4), ARCTIC and ADMIRE (both chemo-immunotherapy, CIT) (5, 6). We identified n-, i- and m-CLL in 49.3% (n=299), 32.0% (n=195) and 18.5% (n=112) of our patients, respectively. Fewer m-CLL patients were identified in our study compared to published data reflecting the progressive nature of our cohort, with 80% (n=245/305, P<0.001) of U-CLL cases exhibiting the n-CLL signature (i-CLL: 17% and m-CLL: 3%). For M-CLL cases, 9%, 50% and 41% exhibited the n-, i- and m-CLL epigenetic signature, respectively. 68% (80/117, p<0.001) of cases with del(11q), 77% (41/53, p<0.001) with trisomy 12, and 68% (38/56, p=0.03) with TP53 lesions were n-CLL. Cases with NOTCH1 (p=0.01) and SF3B1 (p=0.02) mutations were also enriched in n-CLL. Next, we investigated the impact of methylation signatures on progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS). In CT patients, n-, i- and m-CLL patients exhibited a median PFS of 23, 34 and 35 months, and OS of 63, 66 and 106 months, respectively. n-CLL showed significantly shorter PFS than i-CLL (HR 0.64, p<0.001) and m-CLL (HR 0.52, p<0.001), and had the shortest OS, again compared to i-CLL (HR 0.73, p=0.01) and m-CLL (HR 0.33, p<0.001). Ten-year OS differed according to epigenetic signature (P<0.001) and was reached by only 14% of n-CLL patients. Multivariate Cox proportional analysis, controlling for confounding variables (incl. clinical features, IGHV status, TP53, NOTCH1 and SF3B1) in 278 patients, showed that m-CLL was an independent prognostic factor for OS (HR 0.46, p<0.01). In 247 CIT patients, univariate analysis showed that the i- (HR:0.57, p=0.05) and m-CLL (HR:0.3, p=0.002) subgroups displayed longer PFS. In a multivariate model, including TP53 lesions and IGHV status (239 patients), the m-CLL subgroup retained independent prognostic significance (HR:0.25, p<0.001). In conclusion, we provide important evidence that DNA methylation analysis may aid in the identification of patients destined to demonstrate durable remissions when treated with these agents

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