The main focus of this paper is to determine whether the thermodynamic
magnetization is a physically relevant estimator of the finite-size
magnetization. This is done by comparing the asymptotic behaviors of these two
quantities along parameter sequences converging to either a second-order point
or the tricritical point in the mean-field Blume--Capel model. We show that the
thermodynamic magnetization and the finite-size magnetization are asymptotic
when the parameter α governing the speed at which the sequence
approaches criticality is below a certain threshold α0. However, when
α exceeds α0, the thermodynamic magnetization converges to 0
much faster than the finite-size magnetization. The asymptotic behavior of the
finite-size magnetization is proved via a moderate deviation principle when
0α0.
To the best of our knowledge, our results are the first rigorous confirmation
of the statistical mechanical theory of finite-size scaling for a mean-field
model.Comment: Published in at http://dx.doi.org/10.1214/10-AAP679 the Annals of
Applied Probability (http://www.imstat.org/aap/) by the Institute of
Mathematical Statistics (http://www.imstat.org