Modeled Future Kelp Parameters With Climate Change. A Canadian Healthy Oceans Network Ecosystem Function Project, EF-11

Abstract

Modeled relative change (%) in kelp biomass, production, erosion, dislodgement, and mortality with simulated increases in temperature and significant wave height that are expected to occur in the next 10, 20, and 30 years. Also shown are modeled changes in kelp blade grazing (as proportion of blade grazed) by Lacuna vincta, and kelp blade coverage by Membranipora membranacea. Data are from simulations where temp and SWH are increased independently, and in combination. Simulations were also run with and without a sea urchin grazing front

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