Point estimate at the tail.

Abstract

<p>Panels a, b, c and d show the point estimation of monthly incidence of highly pathogenic influenza in Zhejiang province at different quantiles (0.917, 0.958, 0.972 and 0.983). Estimated tail is plotted as solid line, actual data in circles. Vertical dotted lines are estimated monthly incidence of highly pathogenic influenza in Zhejiang province at different quantiles (0.917, 0.958, 0.972 and 0.983) (middle dotted line), lower confidence level (left dotted line) and upper confidence level (right dotted line).</p