The probability of remaining in the recent state as a function of time since seroconversion for BED and BRAI bioassays.

Abstract

<p>Model predicted probabilities from five estimation methods are given; blue lines represent the survival methods, green dashed lines the binomial logit, and red dotted line the GAM method. Subject-specific increasing trends in normalized OD or avidity are graphed in the background on the secondary vertical axis. The horizontal dashed line represents the bioassay threshold for classification of recency/non-recency (BED threshold 0.8; BRAI threshold 30%).</p

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