Population and household age distribution, and age-specific contacts at home.

Abstract

<p>The population pyramids by age and gender (panels a–c), household age matrices (panels d–f) and age-specific contact patterns (panels g–i) are presented for Germany (first column, as a representative of the POLYMOD countries), Bolivia (second column, as a representative of DHS) and South Africa (third column, as a representative of ROW). The population pyramids, panels a–c, and household age matrices (for only POLYMOD and DHS), panels d–e, are observed data. The age-specific contacts at home for Germany (g) is estimated from our hierarchical model. The household age matrix for South Africa (f) and the age-specific contacts at home for Bolivia (h) and South Africa (i) were projected using the described methods. Darker color intensities indicate more likely events i.e. greater tendency of having a household member of that age, higher proclivity of making the age-specific contact.</p

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